Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9df495a416820c808be8e808a60ce835e4cdf86dcd370440d3223b0504a5ab62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,733,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,499,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,733,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,991 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 64c | 3,333,995$2,121,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212,451.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 64c | 1,210,360$771,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439,315.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 36c | 689,560$248,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,241.56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 37c | 641,775$235,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,779.71 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 36c | 532,685$194,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194,180.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 36c | 339,307$123,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,239.83 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 36c | 311,688$112,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,207.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 36c | 253,165$91,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,498.59 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 37c | 239,608$88,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,655.02 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 37c | 225,055$83,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,944.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 36c | 204,089$73,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,471.92 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 187,916$77,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,075.08 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 37c | 170,079$62,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,724.12 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 33c | 166,509$54,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,552.5 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Yes | 65c | 163,763$106,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,499.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 37c | 162,162$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,999.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 107,855$67,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,011.1 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 36c | 96,963$34,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,906.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 96,590$35,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,278.05 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…723fbacked Yes | 63c | 94,189$59,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,849.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Yes | 63c | 85,500$53,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,959.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 84,087$30,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,133.38 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 39c | 82,455$32,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,464.74 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed No | 36c | 72,222$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 37c | 71,550$26,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,473.42 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 36c | 70,747$25,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,468.98 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 36c | 70,623$25,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,424.88 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 36c | 70,561$25,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,402.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 62c | 66,377$40,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,467.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked No | 37c | 65,000$24,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed No | 37c | 60,790$22,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,492.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 36c | 60,429$21,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,754.43 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes | 64c | 60,000$38,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,799.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 37c | 58,230$21,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,545.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Yes | 63c | 55,555$34,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,555.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 66cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 37c | 50,600$18,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,722 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 74c | 48,545$36,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400.41 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 37c | 48,000$17,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,760 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 37c | 47,621$17,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,619.72 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 36c | 42,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,120 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 37,051$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100.27 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 36c | 36,991$13,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,316.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 38c | 33,824$13,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,004.33 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 36c | 32,244$11,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,763.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Yes | 62c | 27,929$17,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,722.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes | 63c | 27,619$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,219.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 58c | 27,418$15,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,611.24 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 38c | 27,000$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,260 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 64c | 25,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 24,514$9,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,936.92 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecb…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 24,000$15,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,773.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 23,950$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.06 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 64c | 23,500$15,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 36c | 23,462$8,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,446.34 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 58c | 22,540$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,539.68 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 40c | 22,500$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked No | 36c | 22,118$7,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,962.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 64c | 22,095$14,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,954.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 36c | 22,057$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.79 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 60c | 21,349$12,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,592.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 20,494$7,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,458.92 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 28c | 20,095$5,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,678.01 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Yes | 55c | 19,108$10,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,598.73 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Yes | 65c | 17,795$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 64c | 17,762$11,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,371.16 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 37c | 16,695$6,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,177.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 37c | 16,470$6,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,058.63 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 37c | 16,430$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100.91 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 37c | 16,009$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.43 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 36c | 16,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 37c | 16,000$5,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.93 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Yes | 63c | 15,960$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 37c | 15,913$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,887.76 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 37c | 15,897$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 63c | 15,873$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.02 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 37c | 15,500$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.98 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 63c | 15,266$9,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 37c | 15,102$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed No | 0c | 14,198$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Yes | 64c | 14,063$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 31c | 13,839$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.53 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 45c | 13,539$6,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.72 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 13,519$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.69 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 37c | 13,500$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 75c | 13,394$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080.3 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…d4c6backed Yes | 60c | 13,355$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 79c | 13,290$10,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,560.74 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…6f8fbacked No | 36c | 13,146$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 61c | 12,981$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…e495backed No | 36c | 12,913$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,648.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…87c5backed No | 36c | 12,843$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 63c | 12,698$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.41 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 63c | 12,605$7,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…51e2backed No | 36c | 12,517$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,506.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…aa9bbacked No | 36c | 12,505$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,501.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…0560backed No | 36c | 12,372$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 37c | 12,284$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.36 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.