NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a09dde2f28c54eb6b2e3e2134c0423b1709f54cbfb57141cc319366820b753
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,005,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,020,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed 49ers | 57c | 350,571$200,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,077.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Seahawks | 42c | 115,590$48,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,508.02 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Seahawks | 45c | 55,485$25,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,062.72 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Seahawks | 46c | 42,223$19,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,381.3 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked 49ers | 55c | 37,230$20,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,626.32 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Seahawks | 36c | 36,188$12,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,916.34 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 49ers | 63c | 25,735$16,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,546.03 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Seahawks | 49c | 25,551$12,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,583.45 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Seahawks | 45c | 25,156$11,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,386.01 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Seahawks | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Seahawks | 46c | 21,749$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks | 44c | 20,316$8,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,938.88 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked 49ers | 61c | 20,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Seahawks | 42c | 19,745$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,388.55 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Seahawks | 42c | 17,537$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,365.54 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Seahawks | 42c | 15,075$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed 49ers | 64c | 11,099$7,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.11 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Seahawks | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Seahawks | 56c | 9,462$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.55 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed 49ers | 57c | 9,399$5,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.68 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seahawks | 45c | 8,907$4,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.68 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Seahawks | 59c | 8,302$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.91 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Seahawks | 43c | 7,934$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.33 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Seahawks | 46c | 6,318$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.15 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seahawks | 1c | 6,226$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Seahawks | 40c | 5,750$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Seahawks | 45c | 5,501$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.96 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked 49ers | 46c | 5,180$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Seahawks | 30c | 5,008$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.09 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed 49ers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Seahawks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seahawks | 44c | 4,798$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.13 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed 49ers | 54c | 4,749$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.67 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Seahawks | 44c | 4,671$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.56 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seahawks | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Seahawks | 42c | 4,310$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Seahawks | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Seahawks | 40c | 3,750$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed 49ers | 57c | 3,366$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.34 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Seahawks | 30c | 3,000$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.24 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Seahawks | 39c | 2,819$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seahawks | 42c | 2,780$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.6 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed 49ers | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed 49ers | 56c | 2,252$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.03 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked 49ers | 56c | 2,222$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.67 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed 49ers | 58c | 2,059$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.44 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Seahawks | 47c | 2,028$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…e529backed Seahawks | 61c | 1,942$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed 49ers | 58c | 1,789$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.02 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed 49ers | 58c | 1,725$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed 49ers | 40c | 1,669$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 49ers | 54c | 1,633$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.49 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 49ers | 61c | 1,555$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.29 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Seahawks | 46c | 1,531$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.09 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed 49ers | 50c | 1,360$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.94 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed 49ers | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Seahawks | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed 49ers | 54c | 1,308$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.83 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed 49ers | 46c | 1,176$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…f499backed Seahawks | 33c | 1,152$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Seahawks | 37c | 1,098$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.61 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Seahawks | 46c | 1,094$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked 49ers | 55c | 1,048$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.54 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Seahawks | 44c | 1,037$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.85 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…1f11backed 49ers | 57c | 1,016$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Seahawks | 53c | 1,015$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Seahawks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…6febbacked 49ers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Seahawks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Seahawks | 38c | 986.84$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed 49ers | 56c | 950$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.19 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Seahawks | 44c | 947.19$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.76 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Seahawks | 49c | 923.21$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed 49ers | 40c | 860$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed 49ers | 45c | 838.27$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.05 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seahawks | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed 49ers | 58c | 815.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed 49ers | 46c | 800$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed 49ers | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Seahawks | 2c | 778$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seahawks | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 49ers | 63c | 730$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.55 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed 49ers | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed 49ers | 54c | 674.93$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…852dbacked 49ers | 48c | 629.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked 49ers | 60c | 604.94$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Seahawks | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Seahawks | 39c | 594.22$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.96 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Seahawks | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Seahawks | 45c | 539.82$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Seahawks | 38c | 524.8$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Seahawks | 44c | 516.01$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked 49ers | 54c | 510$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seahawks | 44c | 510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Seahawks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Seahawks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Seahawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Seahawks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed 49ers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Seahawks | 40c | 492.07$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 49ers vs. Seahawksthis page
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.