NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fd5cc8be03c69e838c826fe318429f79dab68be1c368236f34397ea330822a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Bills, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,581,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,866,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,581,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Dolphins | 21c | 757,612$161,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595,763.78 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Bills | 78c | 193,760$151,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,100.43 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Bills | 78c | 149,460$116,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,579.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Dolphins | 19c | 137,085$26,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,038.79 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Dolphins | 19c | 105,475$20,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,434.7 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Dolphins | 18c | 76,192$13,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,477.36 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bills | 72c | 72,674$52,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,618.74 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Dolphins | 20c | 70,794$13,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,924.24 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Dolphins | 19c | 65,142$12,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,047.1 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bills | 23c | 54,330$12,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,477.49 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bills | 78c | 50,998$39,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,856.74 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bills | 78c | 44,140$34,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,429.19 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Dolphins | 22c | 40,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bills | 78c | 36,689$28,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,617.19 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dolphins | 61c | 35,770$21,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,791.16 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bills | 79c | 31,083$24,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,429.29 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Dolphins | 23c | 30,000$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,106.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bills | 77c | 28,317$21,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,804.01 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bills | 78c | 25,581$19,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,953.18 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Dolphins | 18c | 20,654$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,945.18 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bills | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Bills | 46c | 20,000$9,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,109.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Dolphins | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.96 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bills | 15c | 18,029$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.01 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Bills | 78c | 18,000$14,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,040 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Bills | 78c | 17,696$13,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,810.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Dolphins | 19c | 17,046$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,807.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Dolphins | 22c | 16,837$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,132.95 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Bills | 3c | 16,459$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bills | 78c | 16,370$12,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,741.14 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Bills | 79c | 16,261$12,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,833.75 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Bills | 68c | 15,849$10,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,838.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Dolphins | 35c | 14,886$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,692.33 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Bills | 78c | 13,740$10,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,717.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bills | 76c | 12,737$9,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,722.46 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bills | 78c | 12,500$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…10c9backed Bills | 0c | 12,150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dolphins | 70c | 11,666$8,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.76 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bills | 18c | 10,329$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.93 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bills | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bills | 44c | 9,457$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.06 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bills | 79c | 9,059$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.6 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Bills | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Bills | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Dolphins | 22c | 8,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bills | 16c | 7,966$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.57 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bills | 1c | 7,800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Dolphins | 26c | 7,500$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bills | 79c | 7,483$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.81 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bills | 1c | 7,445$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Bills | 78c | 7,236$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.84 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bills | 4c | 6,966$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.77 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bills | 36c | 6,683$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.43 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Dolphins | 43c | 6,304$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Bills | 80c | 5,990$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Dolphins | 18c | 5,791$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.53 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…d070backed Bills | 79c | 5,730$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Bills | 80c | 5,658$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.43 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Dolphins | 22c | 5,455$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bills | 41c | 5,441$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.49 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Bills | 30c | 5,436$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.57 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bills | 33c | 5,299$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.54 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Dolphins | 19c | 5,211$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bills | 42c | 5,193$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.92 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Dolphins | 57c | 5,115$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Bills | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Bills | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…5a1abacked Bills | 51c | 5,000$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…e376backed Bills | 70c | 4,563$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dolphins | 72c | 4,513$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.88 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Bills | 78c | 4,496$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.49 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -8.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bills | 49c | 4,362$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.11 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bills | 78c | 3,846$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Dolphins | 18c | 3,642$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Bills | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Dolphins | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 52c | 3,497$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.08 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Bills | 74c | 3,375$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.01 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bills | 4c | 3,333$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dolphins | 26c | 3,309$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.55 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Bills | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Bills | 78c | 3,289$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.2 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Bills | 68c | 3,282$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91cd…312fbacked Bills | 64c | 3,247$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bills | 23c | 3,205$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.24 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…8cc6backed Dolphins | 66c | 3,202$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bills | 2c | 3,124$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Dolphins | 21c | 3,062$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.98 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bills | 29c | 3,028$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.14 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Bills | 31c | 3,025$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.49 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bills | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Dolphins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bills | 1c | 2,898$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Bills | 28c | 2,889$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…38fabacked Dolphins | 41c | 2,753$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Bills | 80c | 2,750$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Bills | 77c | 2,700$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.99 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bills | 15c | 2,629$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Bills | 78c | 2,465$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Bills | 18c | 2,362$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.2 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bills vs. Dolphinsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bills (-4.5)Dolphins won
- 1H Spread: Bills (-6.5)Dolphins won
- Bills vs. Dolphins: 1H MoneylineDolphins won
- Bills vs. Dolphins: O/U 49.5Under won
- Bills vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5Under won
- Dolphins Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
- Spread: Bills (-8.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Bills (-9.5)Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.