NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0aadbdf1e9f71e082486e471ce5be982a564fc637193eac728311d294e290c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Islanders, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,118,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,108,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,118,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 64c | 943,659$606,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337,314.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Islanders | 36c | 496,707$180,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,535.34 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 36c | 400,895$144,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,322.08 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Islanders | 36c | 112,000$40,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,320 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders | 36c | 92,452$33,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,426.5 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Sabres | 65c | 66,611$42,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,644.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Islanders | 36c | 52,017$18,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,728.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sabres | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Islanders | 35c | 49,999$17,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,499.71 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Islanders | 35c | 46,000$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 62c | 29,594$18,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,357.04 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 35c | 28,222$9,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,844.19 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sabres | 65c | 23,954$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,454.32 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 36c | 23,817$8,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,558.43 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sabres | 64c | 20,605$13,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,420.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sabres | 65c | 19,146$12,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640.74 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Sabres | 66c | 18,228$12,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.39 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Sabres | 64c | 15,720$10,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.54 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Sabres | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Islanders | 35c | 14,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.02 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Islanders | 0c | 12,583$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Islanders | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 36c | 11,308$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Islanders | 36c | 10,900$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.02 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Islanders | 35c | 10,743$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 67c | 10,412$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.94 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Sabres | 64c | 10,000$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Sabres | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders | 35c | 9,575$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…3861backed Islanders | 39c | 9,092$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Sabres | 62c | 7,950$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Islanders | 37c | 7,879$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.25 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Sabres | 65c | 7,750$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.42 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Sabres | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.06 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Islanders | 36c | 6,681$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf9…208bbacked Sabres | 61c | 6,679$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.01 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Islanders | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Sabres | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Sabres | 64c | 5,282$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.6 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Islanders | 37c | 5,240$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.56 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 65c | 5,183$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.41 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Islanders | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Islanders | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Islanders | 36c | 4,975$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.02 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Islanders | 35c | 4,145$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.75 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 69c | 4,119$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.67 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sabres | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Sabres | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Islanders | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Sabres | 64c | 3,333$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.88 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 22c | 3,201$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.1 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Islanders | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Sabres | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Islanders | 35c | 2,878$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 33c | 2,822$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres | 64c | 2,800$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Sabres | 66c | 2,734$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.47 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Islanders | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 78c | 2,602$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.54 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Sabres | 75c | 2,572$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.83 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Sabres | 65c | 2,517$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.33 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…82c4backed Sabres | 61c | 2,415$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Islanders | 35c | 2,410$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.16 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Islanders | 35c | 2,345$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.75 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Islanders | 35c | 2,300$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 71c | 2,282$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.87 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Sabres | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Sabres | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Sabres | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Sabres | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Sabres | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 35c | 1,990$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.49 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Islanders | 39c | 1,968$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.35 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Sabres | 78c | 1,950$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Sabres | 63c | 1,949$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.14 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 33c | 1,944$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 59c | 1,937$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.22 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Sabres | 65c | 1,875$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.78 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Sabres | 65c | 1,866$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.07 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Islanders | 34c | 1,846$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.88 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 33c | 1,793$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.33 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 61c | 1,786$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.4 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Islanders | 35c | 1,751$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.7 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Islanders | 23c | 1,651$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.19 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Sabres | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Sabres | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sabres | 79c | 1,562$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.18 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Islanders | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Islanders | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Sabres | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Islanders | 35c | 1,424$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Islanders | 35c | 1,400$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Sabresthis page
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.