NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6d175e3c0bdaf150b896d684e923bf8b2b87fb618e9f28fc5d16dc2d5c9e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 306.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 74c | 306.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 288.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 264.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 21c | 226.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 42c | 168.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 28c | 167.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 60c | 167.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 56c | 164.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 148.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 26c | 139.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 69c | 132.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 55c | 125.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 23c | 110$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 76.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Over | 59c | 59.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Under | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 43c | 42.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Over | 58c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 40c | 40.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 58c | 39.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 80c | 24.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Under | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 17.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. SabresSabres won
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.