NFL · resolved market
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56b9ae113cb8e178d81c1a127df46169794aa2f38d5f0c3de2e8ac153673937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Broncos, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,317,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,324,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,317,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Broncos | 45c | 999,675$449,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449,853.8 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Jets | 55c | 632,803$348,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284,761.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets | 55c | 580,536$318,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261,994.76 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Broncos | 45c | 109,500$49,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,274.99 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Broncos | 45c | 38,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Broncos | 46c | 31,927$14,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,686.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Broncos | 45c | 27,413$12,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,335.72 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Broncos | 45c | 25,537$11,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,441.46 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jets | 55c | 21,402$11,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,616.26 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Jets | 59c | 13,842$8,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,727.21 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jets | 54c | 8,943$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.82 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…be35backed Broncos | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Broncos | 39c | 5,922$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.46 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…ff5dbacked Jets | 55c | 5,700$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Broncos | 46c | 5,643$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jets | 54c | 4,573$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.15 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.45 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Broncos | 46c | 4,487$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.02 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Broncos | 46c | 3,987$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.1 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Broncos | 45c | 3,914$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.39 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Broncos | 45c | 3,785$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.12 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Jets | 55c | 3,641$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.63 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…ebc4backed Jets | 55c | 3,400$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…832ebacked Jets | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…2f28backed Broncos | 46c | 3,200$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 45c | 3,165$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.75 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…10dbbacked Broncos | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked Broncos | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Broncos | 46c | 2,602$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.69 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Broncos | 45c | 2,497$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.46 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ca…d82bbacked Jets | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Jets | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Broncos | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Broncos | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Jets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Broncos | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets | 55c | 1,400$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Jets | 50c | 1,350$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.7 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Jets | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Jets | 56c | 1,256$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.49 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Broncos | 46c | 1,253$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.18 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Broncos | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Jets | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jets | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jets | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1699…7644backed Jets | 55c | 825.65$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Broncos | 46c | 788.27$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.47 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda4…e18abacked Broncos | 46c | 730.04$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Jets | 56c | 715$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Broncos | 46c | 654.48$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Jets | 56c | 625$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Jets | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Jets | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Broncos | 49c | 597.74$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.39 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Broncos | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Broncos | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Jets | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…c2eabacked Jets | 56c | 486.44$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Broncos | 46c | 445$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.7 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Broncos | 46c | 383.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Jets | 54c | 302.67$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Jets | 52c | 290$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Broncos | 46c | 282.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Jets | 55c | 271.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos | 45c | 255.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Broncos | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Broncos | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Broncos | 46c | 210.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…4c9bbacked Jets | 55c | 209.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Jets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Jets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…fa0cbacked Broncos | 46c | 197.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Broncos | 46c | 187$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Jets | 55c | 184.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Jets | 56c | 178.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Jets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Broncos | 46c | 172.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Jets | 55c | 159.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Jets | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Broncos | 46c | 138.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Broncos | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Jets | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Jets | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Jets | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed Broncos | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jets | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Jets | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…cdcabacked Jets | 55c | 102.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Broncos | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Broncos | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Jets | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Jets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Jets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Broncos | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Broncos | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Broncos | 46c | 73.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Jets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Jets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Jets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Jets | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)this page
- Broncos vs. JetsBroncos won
- Broncos vs. Jets: O/U 43.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.