NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ddf8c0ccb9504289c7d12ae3995e262f71b91f9eacfaf1e6d270ede932ef33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Broncos, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,349,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,350,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,349,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 713 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Broncos | 75c | 375,514$283,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,178.91 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Jets | 25c | 343,660$85,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,914.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Jets | 24c | 301,885$72,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,452.48 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Jets | 23c | 178,336$40,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,993.48 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jets | 25c | 168,839$41,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,823 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Broncos | 77c | 166,323$127,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,531.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jets | 24c | 142,572$34,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,495.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Broncos | 74c | 123,039$91,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,881.76 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Jets | 24c | 83,045$20,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,121.45 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Broncos | 76c | 77,777$58,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,866.44 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Broncos | 73c | 76,927$56,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,724.34 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jets | 25c | 74,176$18,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,587.65 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Jets | 24c | 70,876$17,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,010.35 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Broncos | 74c | 47,113$34,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,344.94 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Jets | 24c | 46,594$11,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,182.46 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Broncos | 75c | 39,848$29,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,021.3 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Jets | 23c | 31,886$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.74 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Broncos | 76c | 30,000$22,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Jets | 24c | 27,930$6,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,703.2 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Broncos | 77c | 26,406$20,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Broncos | 50c | 23,409$11,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,702.42 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Broncos | 76c | 20,146$15,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.77 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Jets | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Broncos | 76c | 18,794$14,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,505.16 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Broncos | 76c | 18,000$13,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Jets | 23c | 17,324$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.48 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Broncos | 75c | 17,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Broncos | 77c | 16,314$12,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.99 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Broncos | 76c | 15,876$11,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Broncos | 76c | 15,828$12,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,816.75 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Jets | 35c | 15,720$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Broncos | 76c | 15,549$11,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.73 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Broncos | 65c | 15,286$10,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.3 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Broncos | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Broncos | 75c | 15,000$11,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Broncos | 76c | 14,989$11,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.36 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Broncos | 76c | 14,857$11,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.58 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Broncos | 78c | 13,565$10,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.39 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Broncos | 59c | 11,596$6,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.77 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Jets | 18c | 10,807$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.34 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Broncos | 77c | 10,694$8,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.62 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Broncos | 61c | 10,475$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.88 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Jets | 19c | 10,195$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.97 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Broncos | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Jets | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Broncos | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Jets | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Broncos | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Broncos | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Broncos | 75c | 10,000$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Jets | 31c | 9,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Jets | 24c | 8,317$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jets | 26c | 8,315$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.49 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Jets | 24c | 7,586$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.54 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe9…fd0ebacked Jets | 24c | 7,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Broncos | 77c | 7,000$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.97 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…fb7ebacked Jets | 24c | 6,500$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Broncos | 77c | 6,494$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Broncos | 62c | 5,769$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.12 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Broncos | 75c | 5,680$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Jets | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Broncos | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Jets | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Broncos | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Broncos | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jets | 25c | 4,942$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.4 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jets | 24c | 4,940$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.6 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Jets | 17c | 4,923$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.65 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Broncos | 77c | 4,849$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.19 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Broncos | 64c | 4,754$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.8 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Jets | 30c | 4,482$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.18 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Jets | 24c | 4,071$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Broncos | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Jets | 23c | 3,913$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Broncos | 57c | 3,805$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…3772backed Broncos | 76c | 3,700$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Broncos | 57c | 3,666$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Jets | 24c | 3,560$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Jets | 24c | 3,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Jets | 28c | 3,496$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.56 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Broncos | 76c | 3,353$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Jets | 44c | 3,308$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets | 27c | 3,234$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.1 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Broncos | 64c | 3,230$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.56 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jets | 21c | 3,149$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.09 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Jets | 50c | 3,042$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Broncos | 76c | 3,008$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +258.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Jets | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Jets | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Broncos | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Broncos | 78c | 2,790$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…68f7backed Broncos | 77c | 2,700$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Broncos | 60c | 2,627$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.8 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Broncos | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Broncos | 73c | 2,571$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Broncos | 75c | 2,548$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…85bebacked Broncos | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Broncos | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1c…0eaabacked Jets | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4a02backed Broncos | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Jetsthis page
- Broncos vs. Jets: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Broncos (-7.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.