Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3e77600fd5f2aba661092270fef1b44f1d7dcad84f5cdbb43715cf424b7908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked No | 29c | 125,289$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 72c | 33,553$24,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,430.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 71c | 25,676$18,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,354.71 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 73c | 24,642$17,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.55 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 70c | 23,097$16,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,043.1 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes | 72c | 15,200$10,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 29c | 14,265$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,101.57 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 65c | 14,221$9,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 72c | 14,085$10,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Yes | 71c | 14,000$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 35c | 9,870$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked No | 26c | 7,052$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 30c | 5,502$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.84 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…ae61backed No | 27c | 5,444$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 28c | 5,271$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 64c | 4,997$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 72c | 4,818$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 67c | 4,691$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.05 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 71c | 4,583$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 73c | 4,510$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed No | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 72c | 2,958$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…fe01backed No | 34c | 2,938$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed No | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 7c | 2,281$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 39c | 1,692$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.05 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Yes | 64c | 1,689$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 72c | 1,650$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 72c | 1,554$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Yes | 77c | 1,477$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd184…a94cbacked No | 70c | 1,422$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 36c | 1,240$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 75c | 1,237$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,228$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 67c | 1,200$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 36c | 1,182$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…f70dbacked No | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 64c | 1,045$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.05 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 1,044$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.91 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes | 70c | 1,035$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 72c | 1,008$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 71c | 990$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.1 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked No | 34c | 972$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 27c | 956.34$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.21 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked No | 37c | 954.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 36c | 947.17$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…0569backed Yes | 72c | 916.75$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 27c | 881.02$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 28c | 819.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.6 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x675e…a359backed Yes | 70c | 795.71$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b31…754abacked Yes | 53c | 735.49$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…822bbacked No | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 53c | 701.47$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…3501backed No | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes | 72c | 687.5$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 49c | 669.22$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.92 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 39c | 650.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 47c | 648.29$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…79dabacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Yes | 66c | 602.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Yes | 55c | 576.66$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed No | 36c | 555.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 63c | 550$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9a…0cc6backed No | 37c | 538.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…5e7fbacked Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked No | 50c | 482.88$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed No | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…ed08backed No | 14c | 414.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed No | 29c | 385.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Yes | 72c | 384.75$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Yes | 72c | 383.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked No | 27c | 378$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 23c | 353.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 352$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 68c | 347.9$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…aa87backed No | 37c | 346.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1575…3d32backed No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 321$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Yes | 27c | 318.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…cd64backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…8758backed No | 37c | 310$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb0…6367backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…5c1bbacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…c5c6backed Yes | 68c | 295.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…b88abacked No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 46c | 288.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…676ebacked Yes | 72c | 277$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…8b79backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 51c | 270$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Yes | 50c | 261.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 71c | 252.38$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?this page
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.