NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211ea3a40668e8124dbe17cc9d2bdfdcc6e60ee35f2fbf0ed143bafa259987bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Blackhawks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $539,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $548,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Kraken | 60c | 235,035$140,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,589.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blackhawks | 41c | 179,539$74,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,249.79 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kraken | 66c | 58,668$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,667.87 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kraken | 58c | 51,225$29,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,514.46 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 45,000$18,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,450 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blackhawks | 40c | 37,756$15,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,102.4 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 40c | 26,845$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,738 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks | 40c | 25,036$10,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,013.97 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Blackhawks | 42c | 13,924$5,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,848.27 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Kraken | 58c | 11,809$6,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,959.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…4d2ebacked Kraken | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…d309backed Blackhawks | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Blackhawks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.92 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 58c | 8,995$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.9 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 23c | 8,292$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.32 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 25c | 7,338$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.31 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blackhawks | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 58c | 6,878$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.76 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Kraken | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Blackhawks | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 5,662$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.53 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Kraken | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Kraken | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Blackhawks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 57c | 4,495$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.72 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…4503backed Blackhawks | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606b…b93ebacked Kraken | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 40c | 3,940$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks | 35c | 3,751$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.99 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks | 1c | 2,775$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks | 3c | 2,760$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blackhawks | 40c | 2,569$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.67 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Blackhawks | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Kraken | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Kraken | 60c | 2,300$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 2,019$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.85 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Blackhawks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Blackhawks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Kraken | 57c | 1,960$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.7 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…aa97backed Kraken | 59c | 1,864$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 29c | 1,862$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.51 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Kraken | 58c | 1,727$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.34 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Kraken | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Blackhawks | 15c | 1,681$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,623$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.66 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.42 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9496…7454backed Kraken | 58c | 1,500$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…a08abacked Blackhawks | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kraken | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Kraken | 67c | 1,495$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.19 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…3bebbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 1,450$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed Kraken | 58c | 1,450$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 64c | 1,363$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.27 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kraken | 61c | 1,245$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.71 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blackhawks | 41c | 1,216$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.43 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kraken | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blackhawks | 9c | 1,179$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blackhawks | 1c | 1,135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…72a3backed Blackhawks | 43c | 1,114$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blackhawks | 22c | 1,066$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.29 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blackhawks | 6c | 1,029$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blackhawks | 42c | 938.71$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.07 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kraken | 58c | 901.72$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Kraken | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Kraken | 59c | 791.47$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kraken | 57c | 718$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.74 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…9286backed Kraken | 59c | 698$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde2…db05backed Blackhawks | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kraken | 58c | 691.66$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Kraken | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Kraken | 61c | 661$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.79 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks | 43c | 637$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Blackhawks | 41c | 615.34$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.29 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Kraken | 59c | 599.27$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed Blackhawks | 42c | 599.27$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 40c | 580.68$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.27 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Blackhawks | 8c | 576.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…922dbacked Blackhawks | 8c | 571.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blackhawks | 41c | 506.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…cba8backed Kraken | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…4f89backed Blackhawks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Blackhawks | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Kraken | 58c | 477$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Kraken | 63c | 476.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Kraken | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Blackhawks | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Blackhawks | 26c | 384$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 38c | 365.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…7df3backed Blackhawks | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Kraken | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e6…ce48backed Blackhawks | 42c | 329.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…6032backed Kraken | 59c | 307.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…5082backed Blackhawks | 44c | 306.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blackhawks | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Krakenthis page
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.