NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a2530c0a6e1c12ea7cf4afc3e16d62c6f26a6dd256ef6134fabf234c3e64e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 55c | 6,417$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.16 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…cbfdbacked Under | 47c | 6,122$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…35adbacked Over | 53c | 5,721$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 5,598$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.9 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…6891backed Over | 53c | 5,579$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…171abacked Under | 47c | 5,367$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…f7f1backed Under | 47c | 5,129$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…246dbacked Under | 47c | 5,127$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…89b2backed Under | 47c | 4,838$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…e464backed Over | 53c | 4,835$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…c2c0backed Over | 53c | 4,626$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…74f9backed Over | 53c | 4,347$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…cc5bbacked Under | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b02dbacked Over | 53c | 3,475$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…91aabacked Over | 53c | 3,328$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…22d8backed Over | 53c | 3,128$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 53c | 2,992$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.12 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…c056backed Under | 47c | 2,728$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…4197backed Under | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…c362backed Under | 47c | 2,348$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…dbf0backed Under | 47c | 2,188$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f2…4b20backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…65b4backed Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2da…450cbacked Over | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a04…5027backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…e1c3backed Over | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…37a7backed Over | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…64d0backed Over | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Over | 53c | 1,218$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.39 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…f39fbacked Under | 47c | 1,192$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…0a93backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 53c | 620.08$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 46c | 514$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.56 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074e…78f2backed Over | 54c | 450.49$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 305$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 201.08$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 160.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Under | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. KrakenKraken won
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.