NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d6f5afda49182f57c33f05fef94f0d9e17b5862750ab2b2262d5872b241ae18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Kings, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $527,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Kings | 49c | 179,448$88,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,265.41 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Capitals | 52c | 175,923$92,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,617.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kings | 48c | 68,425$32,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,720.91 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Kings | 48c | 50,461$23,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,998.83 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 51c | 28,518$14,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,053.73 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.97 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kings | 46c | 18,651$8,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,529.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 51c | 18,650$9,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,138.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Capitals | 51c | 13,304$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.14 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Capitals | 52c | 10,481$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.88 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 47c | 10,465$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.37 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Kings | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Capitals | 54c | 8,995$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.65 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 21c | 8,809$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.43 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 47c | 7,870$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 51c | 5,563$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.87 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 51c | 5,430$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.7 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 52c | 5,202$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.41 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Capitals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Kings | 49c | 3,598$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kings | 23c | 3,401$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.52 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kings | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.78 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Capitals | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 47c | 3,124$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.27 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Capitals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kings | 48c | 2,958$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 48c | 2,571$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,518$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.4 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,377$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.25 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 46c | 2,265$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Capitals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Capitals | 51c | 2,000$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kings | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Capitals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Kings | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Capitals | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,994$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.88 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Capitals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 48c | 1,869$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.66 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Capitals | 74c | 1,862$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 51c | 1,807$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…bcb5backed Capitals | 55c | 1,750$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaad…5287backed Kings | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631d…4759backed Capitals | 55c | 1,739$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 32c | 1,616$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.04 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 48c | 1,563$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.41 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 66c | 1,544$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.48 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kings | 33c | 1,440$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,411$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971a…ea89backed Capitals | 55c | 1,269$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.93 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…ae36backed Kings | 46c | 1,150$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Kings | 29c | 1,021$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kings | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 50c | 984.89$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kings | 49c | 944.9$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kings | 46c | 896$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.16 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 47c | 883.9$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.68 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…a88ebacked Kings | 49c | 880$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…19dfbacked Capitals | 52c | 880$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Kings | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kings | 21c | 757.41$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.68 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…8447backed Capitals | 54c | 638.89$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.89 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Kings | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kings | 49c | 613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…6b0dbacked Kings | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Capitals | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 51c | 587.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.19 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Capitals | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Kings | 48c | 530$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…b332backed Capitals | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Capitals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Kings | 46c | 493.26$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf57…6dffbacked Capitals | 55c | 492.73$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 20c | 477.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb3…ffafbacked Capitals | 52c | 461.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 47c | 447$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Kings | 25c | 420.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Kings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kings | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Capitals | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Kings | 49c | 379.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Capitals | 52c | 378.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Kings | 20c | 377.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbd…dde8backed Capitals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 74c | 374.19$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Kings | 38c | 363.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Kings | 19c | 349.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 75c | 341$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 29c | 338$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Capitals | 55c | 332.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Capitalsthis page
- Kings vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.