NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e480bb549069780279b851565ba948425e11e927c62d7a33b25421577e4bb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kraken | 62c | 176,383$109,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,175.88 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 38c | 90,000$33,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,900 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sharks | 58c | 69,018$39,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,031.08 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Sharks | 40c | 48,417$19,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,203.85 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Sharks | 39c | 47,029$18,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,617.47 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 39c | 32,355$12,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,871.52 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kraken | 61c | 31,221$19,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,059.19 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Sharks | 38c | 26,363$10,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,355.09 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Kraken | 60c | 23,542$14,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,125.35 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sharks | 47c | 16,416$7,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.36 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Sharks | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks | 38c | 11,791$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.42 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sharks | 38c | 11,144$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,909.25 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…9355backed Kraken | 62c | 10,684$6,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,616.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Sharks | 38c | 9,600$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,960 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Sharks | 39c | 7,375$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sharks | 40c | 6,711$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.95 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Kraken | 61c | 6,331$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.38 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Sharks | 44c | 6,310$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.94 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…9088backed Kraken | 60c | 6,212$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,727 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sharks | 39c | 5,896$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.23 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Kraken | 37c | 5,856$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.57 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sharks | 47c | 5,617$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.25 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 47c | 5,599$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.64 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks | 39c | 5,410$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.53 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…09ebbacked Sharks | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sharks | 39c | 4,876$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.14 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 56c | 4,128$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.39 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 76c | 3,733$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.17 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 38c | 3,579$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.84 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kraken | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Sharks | 40c | 2,943$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.09 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kraken | 23c | 2,851$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.52 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Sharks | 39c | 2,764$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 56c | 2,740$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.99 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Kraken | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 4c | 2,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 38c | 2,438$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.47 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 59c | 2,327$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.2 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sharks | 39c | 2,222$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.42 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kraken | 34c | 1,889$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.26 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 61c | 1,555$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sharks | 39c | 1,534$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.88 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Kraken | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed Sharks | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sharks | 75c | 1,397$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.21 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kraken | 60c | 1,270$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…0a75backed Kraken | 60c | 1,264$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…7bc7backed Sharks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…5049backed Sharks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…e622backed Kraken | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…faf4backed Kraken | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Sharks | 66c | 1,235$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Kraken | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Kraken | 60c | 1,017$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Kraken | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4c8bbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Sharks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ea…be40backed Kraken | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…958bbacked Kraken | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Sharks | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Sharks | 39c | 972.97$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.51 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 61c | 960$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0a7cbacked Sharks | 40c | 950$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Kraken | 60c | 950$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 52c | 827.26$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Kraken | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…36f2backed Sharks | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Kraken | 61c | 757.88$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.31 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 38c | 750.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Sharks | 38c | 711.6$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.19 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks | 71c | 687.59$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Sharks | 39c | 679.63$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.78 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5478backed Kraken | 45c | 650$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 60c | 634.59$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc515…89efbacked Sharks | 39c | 632.67$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…72cfbacked Kraken | 62c | 632.6$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks | 39c | 624$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…b01abacked Kraken | 61c | 622.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Sharks | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…5c0abacked Kraken | 61c | 599.98$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sharks | 39c | 590.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.12 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sharks | 39c | 525$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Sharks | 39c | 512.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kraken | 19c | 501$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sharks | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…2fd4backed Sharks | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…27cdbacked Kraken | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Kraken | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Kraken | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken | 60c | 470$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Kraken | 62c | 432.37$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…fe11backed Sharks | 40c | 420$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Kraken | 63c | 409.52$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ad…e1e5backed Kraken | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Krakenthis page
- Sharks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.