Olympics · resolved market
Women's Final - USA vs. Canada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee87097c789994816d12dca7675656879c3dbfa105be6a2a461d0eeeeac66c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,030,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Canada | 20c | 51,804$10,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,360.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked USA | 80c | 42,373$33,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,474.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canada | 19c | 40,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Canada | 20c | 37,590$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Canada | 20c | 36,040$7,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,208 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Canada | 18c | 33,825$6,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,088.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked USA | 61c | 31,803$19,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,282.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canada | 18c | 30,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked USA | 62c | 24,353$15,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,349.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed USA | 72c | 24,233$17,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,802.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canada | 19c | 23,587$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked USA | 48c | 20,211$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,509.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canada | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Canada | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…b0cfbacked USA | 34c | 17,483$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,459.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Canada | 22c | 17,267$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.83 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Canada | 37c | 14,666$5,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed USA | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canada | 19c | 12,500$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Canada | 20c | 12,468$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Canada | 18c | 11,111$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Canada | 18c | 11,000$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canada | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed USA | 35c | 9,620$3,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,269.53 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Canada | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Canada | 20c | 8,942$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked USA | 65c | 7,918$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.78 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Canada | 54c | 7,550$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked USA | 11c | 7,460$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed USA | 80c | 7,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Canada | 18c | 6,583$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Canada | 20c | 6,268$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed USA | 63c | 5,944$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canada | 40c | 5,762$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Canada | 49c | 5,549$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Canada | 50c | 5,428$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…da6dbacked Canada | 1c | 5,084$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Canada | 18c | 5,005$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Canada | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Canada | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Canada | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Canada | 50c | 4,893$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed USA | 44c | 4,596$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Canada | 50c | 4,525$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Canada | 40c | 4,510$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Canada | 61c | 4,420$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Canada | 52c | 4,197$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Canada | 19c | 4,134$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed USA | 58c | 4,015$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Canada | 1c | 3,951$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed USA | 42c | 3,655$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USA | 47c | 3,645$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.32 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Canada | 19c | 3,210$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Canada | 17c | 3,075$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…379abacked Canada | 25c | 3,051$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked USA | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Canada | 18c | 2,890$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canada | 39c | 2,841$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked USA | 77c | 2,650$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed USA | 3c | 2,569$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +596.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed USA | 69c | 2,569$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Canada | 19c | 2,520$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canada | 19c | 2,510$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked USA | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Canada | 20c | 2,355$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Canada | 21c | 2,349$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Canada | 18c | 2,224$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Canada | 25c | 2,183$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed USA | 54c | 2,162$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a82…7547backed USA | 66c | 2,118$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Canada | 20c | 2,032$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Canada | 1c | 2,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Canada | 24c | 2,000$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.62 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Canada | 19c | 2,000$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked USA | 80c | 1,866$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed USA | 80c | 1,850$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed USA | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Canada | 20c | 1,665$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed USA | 37c | 1,653$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Canada | 52c | 1,626$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked USA | 80c | 1,605$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Canada | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed USA | 80c | 1,360$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed USA | 51c | 1,303$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Canada | 2c | 1,300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Canada | 19c | 1,297$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked USA | 50c | 1,278$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canada | 41c | 1,276$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Canada | 56c | 1,270$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed USA | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked USA | 78c | 1,200$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Canada | 18c | 1,159$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed USA | 17c | 1,151$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed USA | 23c | 1,122$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…30ddbacked Canada | 77c | 1,069$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed USA | 80c | 1,060$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Canada | 3c | 1,048$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed USA | 54c | 1,035$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canada | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed USA | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.