TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Hurricanes, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars50c62,023$31,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,983.281,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Stars52c45,275$23,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,638.114057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Stars51c33,185$16,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,309.624447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Hurricanes47c28,724$13,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,535.3140550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Hurricanes48c25,000$12,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,049.9924945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hurricanes47c17,605$8,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,358.6741246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Stars53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Stars52c9,388$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465.941,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes49c8,995$4,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,407.5370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hurricanes51c8,675$4,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,401.4158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Hurricanes47c8,425$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.4719451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Hurricanes48c8,224$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,947.736254.8%34 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes48c7,777$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,744.071,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Hurricanes57c7,536$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,312.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars51c7,198$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.0257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Hurricanes47c6,012$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,825.6430551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Hurricanes48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8805448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Hurricanes50c5,497$2,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.333548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Hurricanes49c5,161$2,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.930848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Stars52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9814253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Hurricanes49c4,942$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.9610352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hurricanes47c4,636$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.9238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Hurricanes48c3,862$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.3172448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes49c3,834$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.721,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Hurricanes47c3,673$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.5415646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Hurricanes47c3,096$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.9537847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Stars51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.1813946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes47c2,666$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.851,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes48c2,307$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.318134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Hurricanes48c2,000$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.9942847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Hurricanes47c1,948$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.23557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Stars53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.8951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Hurricanes47c1,880$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.620147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Hurricanes46c1,860$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.247149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Stars54c1,854$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.556046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars31c1,781$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.891,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Stars51c1,569$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.6325446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Stars54c1,308$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.6261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Hurricanes48c1,302$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9652172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Stars53c1,247$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Hurricanes47c1,203$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4828353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Stars51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58834845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Hurricanes46c1,200$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55751044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Hurricanes47c1,084$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.153740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hurricanes48c1,068$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.6962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Hurricanes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Hurricanes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hurricanes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Hurricanes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4805549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Hurricanes47c710$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.716743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Hurricanes48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Hurricanes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Hurricanes46c588.83$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.8619942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Hurricanes48c575$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9217153.2%91 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes49c561$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.891,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Stars54c557.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4111051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Stars53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23516241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Stars53c493.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Stars51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.231654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars44c477.59$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.351,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes50c467$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.51,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Stars20c466.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3329319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe87d…9906backed Hurricanes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Hurricanes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Hurricanes48c408.33$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966431.3%20 W · 44 L-11.1wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Hurricanes52c396.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.098843.2%38 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars64c342.39$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.193,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Stars48c313.85$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.256649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Hurricanes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x790d…9995backed Stars20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed Hurricanes80c285.98$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Stars54c285.89$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5115839.9%63 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ed…0bb4backed Stars22c284.14$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.63933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Hurricanes48c277.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13330946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8116…7239backed Stars53c264.15$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1511144.1%49 W · 62 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Hurricanes46c249.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11618750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Hurricanes48c240.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.678846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcaf…632bbacked Hurricanes48c240.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1af…9457backed Stars53c239.62$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Stars53c226.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.413357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Stars53c220$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.423741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Hurricanes48c218.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Stars20c209.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.8821652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5553…9235backed Hurricanes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Hurricanes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9638445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hurricanes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Hurricanes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Hurricanes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Hurricanes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x630d…d066backed Hurricanes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Hurricanes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9443944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Hurricanes68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1368932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Hurricanes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Hurricanes50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.