TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$579,079
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,079 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2131…aaf2backed Bruins53c105,280$55,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,623.785253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Bruins53c100,000$52,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,596.052330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Bruins51c63,422$32,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,345.019340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Ducks48c60,000$28,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,199.9614538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks48c59,021$28,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,500.811,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Ducks49c54,000$26,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,539.9613553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Ducks47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,50030944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks46c37,668$17,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,249.551,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bruins52c34,500$17,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,864.1158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Ducks47c32,500$15,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,224.964447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Ducks48c15,000$7,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8756737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Ducks48c12,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2404944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Ducks49c10,733$5,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,498.7588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks48c10,394$4,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,452.291,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Bruins51c10,305$5,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.8457453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Bruins53c10,126$5,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,366.721625%4 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Bruins52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Ducks48c9,399$4,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,865.447149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Bruins51c8,995$4,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,587.3370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Ducks49c8,175$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.2519451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Ducks49c8,057$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.1656649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Bruins51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0805950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa4…e9d2backed Bruins51c7,692$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.841844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bruins11c6,615$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.0289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks49c6,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Bruins51c5,643$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks48c5,500$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8601,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Bruins51c5,400$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7543655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Ducks47c5,135$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,721.4644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Ducks49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9714253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Ducks48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.9724945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e85…bb56backed Bruins52c3,997$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.31936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1183…14ccbacked Bruins53c3,654$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks47c3,510$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.352050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…42e8backed Ducks49c3,499$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bruins4c3,127$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.651,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Bruins51c3,099$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.6989249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bruins51c3,000$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Bruins52c2,825$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.5130848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks49c2,750$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.530447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Bruins52c2,663$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Ducks48c2,655$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.4862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ac…e951backed Bruins52c2,436$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Bruins8c2,029$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6320137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae1b…acd1backed Bruins52c2,021$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Bruins52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Bruins51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Bruins52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04012445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Ducks47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x618d…aadcbacked Bruins51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked Ducks47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Bruins51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Ducks48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.936657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Ducks49c1,644$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.883740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Bruins51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9df…70f1backed Bruins52c1,486$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a4…2da1backed Ducks49c1,485$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+153.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Ducks48c1,290$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.87152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Bruins51c1,271$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.2964242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Bruins52c1,257$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6505255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Bruins59c1,252$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4714151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Bruins51c1,207$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.393053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Ducks73c1,064$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.783360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1bc…9dc9backed Ducks49c1,025$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Ducks49c1,019$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.6910145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Bruins50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Bruins52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52012041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Ducks48c999.99$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9921750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Ducks49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Bruins50c982$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bruins50c978$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks47c977.96$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.5837847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e9…5e83backed Ducks50c930$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4653748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bruins41c905.17$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.321,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Bruins51c874.08$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.941246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Bruins52c865.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026848.5%130 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Bruins51c864.71$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44148050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Ducks47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.561959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Bruins13c792.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.949949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Bruins51c785$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.356139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Bruins54c747.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Bruins51c737.74$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.4515646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Ducks48c690$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.815448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x075f…833cbacked Bruins52c649.52$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.751020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-63.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc913…81d6backed Bruins53c625$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b95…d040backed Ducks48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Ducks56c618.92$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.852172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f6…6e69backed Bruins52c612.33$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.415054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Ducks49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.245058%29 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Bruins52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006065%39 W · 21 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+99.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Bruins51c567.14$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4569550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Bruins53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ducks48c540$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.235349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe834…4114backed Ducks49c530.78$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91de…7044backed Bruins52c530.77$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Ducks62c527.23$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0612070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Ducks48c516.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.585940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8e…a742backed Bruins53c510$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.33857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa280…2776backed Bruins52c509.62$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefef…1c94backed Ducks49c509.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.