NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4318fec34876d03ff54fec5d25e60d52462b31e10de44909cf1a48044c6faaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,220,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,428,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,220,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 970 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens | 49c | 91,569$44,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,574.85 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 52c | 91,053$47,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,347.55 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Canadiens | 48c | 87,617$42,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,560.94 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Sabres | 50c | 46,014$23,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,079.68 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Canadiens | 51c | 40,868$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,868.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 49c | 40,508$19,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,848.93 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Canadiens | 50c | 30,459$15,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,229.61 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Sabres | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 48c | 29,830$14,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,319.59 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens | 46c | 27,420$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,920.37 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Canadiens | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Sabres | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.97 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 1c | 19,975$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Sabres | 60c | 19,921$12,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,039.82 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Sabres | 51c | 18,569$9,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,388.17 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sabres | 52c | 17,732$9,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,234.58 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.95 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Canadiens | 80c | 14,133$11,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens | 42c | 14,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.96 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Sabres | 50c | 13,427$6,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,713.5 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 47c | 13,269$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,017.12 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 51c | 12,184$6,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,217.54 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Canadiens | 51c | 12,160$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens | 32c | 11,975$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,192.57 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 49c | 11,224$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 48c | 11,110$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.18 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Sabres | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Sabres | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Sabres | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.85 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Canadiens | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Sabres | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Canadiens | 50c | 9,500$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 48c | 9,222$4,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.55 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sabres | 1c | 8,847$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Canadiens | 50c | 8,544$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.87 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Sabres | 50c | 8,287$4,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 51c | 8,143$4,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.88 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Canadiens | 49c | 8,066$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.83 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 49c | 7,721$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Sabres | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5827backed Sabres | 51c | 7,479$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Canadiens | 50c | 6,817$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.9 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Canadiens | 32c | 6,542$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…fe78backed Canadiens | 44c | 6,372$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 48c | 6,114$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.6 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 54c | 6,062$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.15 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sabres | 46c | 5,873$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.44 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 51c | 5,336$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.46 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Sabres | 49c | 5,005$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Canadiens | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.92 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Sabres | 64c | 4,818$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.57 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Canadiens | 50c | 4,710$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 52c | 4,668$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.95 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sabres | 2c | 4,385$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Sabres | 51c | 4,248$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Sabres | 52c | 4,227$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.08 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed Sabres | 51c | 4,050$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Sabres | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Sabres | 10c | 3,865$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.73 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 51c | 3,279$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.78 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Canadiens | 45c | 3,258$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.72 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Sabres | 51c | 3,163$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canadiens | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Sabres | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Sabres | 2c | 3,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sabres | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 53c | 2,999$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.02 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Canadiens | 55c | 2,610$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.9 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Sabres | 66c | 2,600$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Sabres | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sabres | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sabres | 64c | 2,237$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.73 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Canadiens | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…b95fbacked Canadiens | 50c | 2,220$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Canadiens | 33c | 2,166$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Sabres | 51c | 2,119$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…4d2bbacked Canadiens | 49c | 2,106$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,080$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04f…bca2backed Sabres | 51c | 2,073$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Sabres | 51c | 2,050$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.45 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,031$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sabres | 51c | 2,030$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.29 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…a41dbacked Canadiens | 50c | 1,963$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Sabres | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Canadiens | 76c | 1,949$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.29 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 52c | 1,926$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Sabres | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…f811backed Sabres | 51c | 1,918$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,870$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.33 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 42c | 1,860$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.43 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccd…d915backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,746$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cf…2d4cbacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,738$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Sabres | 52c | 1,694$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabresthis page
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.