TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,509

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over56c44,825$25,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,750.353847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under44c29,019$12,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,768.5710146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c8,917$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,884.921,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c7,262$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.1328749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c6,616$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.931,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.993246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under46c6,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.8850049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under44c5,885$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.2518641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under44c4,600$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0243545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c4,061$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.341,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Over56c3,728$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.223158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over57c2,807$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.021172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over56c2,211$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.714151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over54c2,100$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9669948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under45c1,780$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80144551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c1,654$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Over44c1,289$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.641145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over54c689.63$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.2314549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over56c591.23$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5211952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under44c499.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067d…1ceebacked Over56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over66c365.41$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.581,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under46c330$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.81464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over56c304$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7624350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over56c299.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Under33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under18c234$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.125240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under43c214.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3210545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under47c204.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.922751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.624442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over56c185$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.420756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813040%12 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2779…a482backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.448336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2f…cf58backed Over59c170.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under31c162$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8813336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c144.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.282,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under46c143.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8617248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under47c134.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1610056%56 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9441050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under41c120.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.225364.2%34 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over54c114.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.82,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.143565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4314653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444725.5%12 W · 35 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over56c88.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1121355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under21c83.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4f…6055backed Over62c80.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.812343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.27642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked Under45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under43c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2520350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Over56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d9…25cbbacked Under44c67.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed Over56c58.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over55c58.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.33770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over65c55.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Under28c51.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.314226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over56c50.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under44c50.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.032254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under44c50.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.034252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under44c50.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.034151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under44c50.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.032157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.563158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over53c47.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1218453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.371952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0237…2a04backed Under44c44.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6415257.2%87 W · 65 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.646851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Under43c40.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Under44c38.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.561145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under46c36.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.693644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a38…7210backed Over54c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Under45c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under44c29.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.926544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over54c28.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.216753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5880…c43cbacked Over56c28.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7175…5a88backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc17…31b0backed Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over57c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.565961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under46c22.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.173953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…91cfbacked Over56c18.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5726…d0b5backed Over56c18.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.