NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabeba3ccf639b055683b8554545bee50bd59854f08cd2bdfeb1613c95bbda581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Sabres, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Canadiens | 70c | 1,467$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.1 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 29c | 1,096$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.74 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…92f9backed Canadiens | 31c | 1,004$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…e1c8backed Canadiens | 31c | 829.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 69c | 748.88$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.73 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Canadiens | 70c | 478.1$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae0…ce13backed Sabres | 71c | 457.61$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…3d16backed Sabres | 70c | 449.54$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Canadiens | 30c | 353.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.55 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 30c | 301.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…1594backed Sabres | 71c | 275.07$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…67b7backed Sabres | 70c | 251.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sabres | 31c | 238$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Canadiens | 59c | 226.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Canadiens | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Sabres | 48c | 220.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 27c | 215.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…ed58backed Sabres | 70c | 211.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…86fcbacked Sabres | 71c | 202.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Sabres | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canadiens | 73c | 161.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 58c | 154.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Canadiens | 30c | 153.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Sabres | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Sabres | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Canadiens | 30c | 143.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Canadiens | 59c | 116.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sabres | 28c | 110.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Canadiens | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Canadiens | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Canadiens | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Canadiens | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Sabres | 38c | 89.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Sabres | 70c | 79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Canadiens | 76c | 78.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sabres | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Sabres | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Sabres | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sabres | 41c | 65.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Sabres | 36c | 63.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Canadiens | 71c | 58.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Canadiens | 30c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Canadiens | 57c | 54.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Canadiens | 63c | 52.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sabres | 36c | 51.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Canadiens | 70c | 50.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Sabres | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Canadiens | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Canadiens | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Sabres | 35c | 40.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Canadiens | 30c | 39.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed Canadiens | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Sabres | 33c | 31.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sabres | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Canadiens | 67c | 29.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Canadiens | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Canadiens | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Sabres | 69c | 24.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Canadiens | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canadiens | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 73c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. SabresCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.