NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a473e075cf5b2e7bb219510a2addc5392b309bf78ad7b51a5d10bd3ebd81605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f3…2287backed Under | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 2c | 2,364$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 12c | 1,453$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5576backed Under | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 24c | 987.49$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 24c | 870.83$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.83 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 9c | 719.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 629.15$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Under | 8c | 514.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 71c | 422.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 11c | 359.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 35c | 343$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 337$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 74c | 335.4$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.11 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 50c | 246.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 59c | 225$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 23c | 210$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 8c | 209.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Under | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Under | 78c | 181.12$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…50dbbacked Under | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Under | 47c | 173.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Under | 14c | 171$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 167.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…0620backed Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 66c | 155.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 77c | 102$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 27c | 100.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 26c | 100.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 23c | 91.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 77c | 90.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 60c | 87.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d989backed Under | 50c | 83.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Over | 59c | 82.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 67c | 73.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Over | 80c | 65.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 56.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Over | 23c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 78c | 42.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 40.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Over | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 39.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…ed75backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 73c | 26.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 61c | 25.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 56c | 19.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 76c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5this page
- Canadiens vs. SabresCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.