TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over44c109,581$48,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,566.393847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under56c31,940$17,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,886.418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Under56c24,518$13,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,730.085639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c17,145$7,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,429.8741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under56c11,500$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,44010146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5604161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under57c6,404$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6503844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3603246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under57c4,951$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.8828749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under1c4,436$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.26714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c4,124$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.831,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed Under56c3,893$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under55c3,616$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.789038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under56c2,857$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under56c2,269$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.5633151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1204949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under55c1,960$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.3417761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over43c1,861$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.9622443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over44c1,716$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.914951%25 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c1,600$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.9876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under55c1,301$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.559450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Under57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb58d…fadfbacked Under56c1,141$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.941926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61626154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under56c1,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5609258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c1,000$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.6133554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9962346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c872.75$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48025449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over67c745.45$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.251,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c694.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.712,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under45c639.09$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.183652.8%19 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010367%69 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under55c500.87$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.696154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Over69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1553141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under56c411.59$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4611952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under17c400$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.372,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0503…8b4ebacked Over44c330.61$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under56c303.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed Under57c287$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.591526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under56c249.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.994158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over69c238$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Under50c190.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under56c179.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7962447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.22853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over43c124.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over61c116.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9921355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over75c115.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4517248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over56c109.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.019659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under57c103.44$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.964548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Under57c102.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.691650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Under16c102.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.414226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5482353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564725.5%12 W · 35 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under56c89.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Over56c81.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.823253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over44c79.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6347753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under55c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2520350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under48c62.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.033231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over77c57.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under56c53.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Under57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under56c42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.523158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c35.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0821253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f7…5ff2backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a5d…e049backed Under57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under57c34.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+40.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.921,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under57c29.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.623644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Over44c28.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.021060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d9…25cbbacked Under56c28.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0acabacked Under57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under42c25.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.754942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…31b0backed Over44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over75c24.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0245069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over79c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0427659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf8…4d13backed Under55c22.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5657…0e72backed Under56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over66c15.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.353366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.