NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41e89f0aa6e7082ea71eeeca8877a165ec2e7ab6edb63946fc0d4d4a5f78b41f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Over | 44c | 109,581$48,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,566.39 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 56c | 31,940$17,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,886.4 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Under | 56c | 24,518$13,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,730.08 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 17,145$7,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,429.87 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 56c | 11,500$6,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,440 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Under | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 57c | 6,404$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 4,951$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.88 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 1c | 4,436$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 4,124$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…26f8backed Under | 56c | 3,893$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 55c | 3,616$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.78 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 56c | 2,857$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 56c | 2,269$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.56 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 55c | 1,960$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.34 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 1,861$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.96 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 44c | 1,716$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.91 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 1,600$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.98 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 1,301$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Under | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…fadfbacked Under | 56c | 1,141$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 56c | 1,000$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.61 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 872.75$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 67c | 745.45$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.25 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 694.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under | 45c | 639.09$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 55c | 500.87$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 411.59$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…8b4ebacked Over | 44c | 330.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 56c | 303.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Under | 57c | 287$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 69c | 238$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Under | 50c | 190.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 179.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over | 43c | 124.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 61c | 116.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 75c | 115.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 56c | 109.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under | 57c | 103.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 57c | 102.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Under | 16c | 102.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 56c | 89.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Over | 56c | 81.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 44c | 79.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 48c | 62.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 77c | 57.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 56c | 53.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…5ff2backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…e049backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Under | 57c | 34.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 57c | 29.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Over | 44c | 28.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…25cbbacked Under | 56c | 28.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0acabacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 42c | 25.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…31b0backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 75c | 24.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Under | 55c | 22.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…0e72backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 66c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. SabresCanadiens won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Canadiens won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.