TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5657…0e72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 63 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+62.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$8.49
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Tomas Barriosbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$11.72
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Mayar Sherif vs Martina Trevisanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$6.06
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Colton Smithbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$5.06
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gustavo Heide vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$7.96
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.28
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+31%+$5.97
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.2
Geneva Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Tyler Zinkbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Eva Lysbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.02
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$25.54
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Emilio Navabacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$15.34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.42
Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboianbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Valencia: Dusan Lajovic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+263.7%+$31.52
Valencia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Zizou Bergsbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 17 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.07
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.78
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$13.98
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.09
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.25
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.96
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.