Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0848249fa1a9b2ee505576365d3e4a7de39772309b2c7f2e40748d1fca635097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,024$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.6 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 5c | 1,734$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,588$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 28c | 1,204$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 56c | 1,200$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.24 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.78 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 44c | 1,184$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.02 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 30c | 933.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 596.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 54c | 299$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 244.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 12c | 163.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 139.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 48c | 110.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 44c | 105.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 43c | 102.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 91.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 80.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 26c | 78.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 42c | 77.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 56c | 75.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Over | 56c | 57.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 25c | 57.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 43c | 56.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 54.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 44c | 44.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 41.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 57c | 34.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 56c | 32.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…0e72backed Under | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Under | 75c | 17.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 80c | 15.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.