Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e937299a3892f4e4a785b693935cee0b3add209c0c1d43c9db2f60a5f5ba32a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 67c | 12,326$8,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Over | 0c | 8,042$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 3,745$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 2,245$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.87 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 2,100$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.74 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 79c | 1,267$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 57c | 1,246$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.24 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 20c | 1,184$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.18 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 1,160$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.78 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 21c | 931.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.08 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 52c | 550$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 33c | 489.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 45c | 419.33$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 80c | 370.54$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…c70fbacked Over | 50c | 369.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…dfcabacked Over | 33c | 357.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 342.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 21c | 300$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 28c | 269.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 52c | 246.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 48c | 211.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 37c | 207.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 172.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 59c | 171$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 148.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 64c | 143.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 47c | 128.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 22c | 106.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 90.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 56c | 87.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 55c | 86.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1826backed Over | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Under | 63c | 69.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 80c | 57.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 32c | 52.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 26c | 45.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 48c | 44.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…e5d8backed Over | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 42.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 41.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 46c | 39.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 38c | 34.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 43c | 34.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…c808backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 78c | 24.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 49c | 20.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.