Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d93ce31ccfb89682ba6d85fabb60f0526081272d6fa143af59a2e45c6c14f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Santa Claraof FC Porto, CD Santa Clara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40d0…4415backed CD Santa Clara | 51c | 1,184$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.15 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked FC Porto | 49c | 1,026$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed FC Porto | 20c | 1,011$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed FC Porto | 32c | 828.21$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.93 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Santa Clara | 54c | 796.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CD Santa Clara | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Porto | 42c | 599.41$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed CD Santa Clara | 66c | 536.55$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed FC Porto | 56c | 355.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed CD Santa Clara | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CD Santa Clara | 53c | 293.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed FC Porto | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked CD Santa Clara | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Porto | 51c | 253.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed FC Porto | 23c | 216.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked FC Porto | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked FC Porto | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed FC Porto | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CD Santa Clara | 51c | 166.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked CD Santa Clara | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Santa Clara | 52c | 159.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.42 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CD Santa Clara | 74c | 157.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Porto | 49c | 107.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CD Santa Clara | 49c | 105.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CD Santa Clara | 65c | 100.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked CD Santa Clara | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked FC Porto | 50c | 92.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed CD Santa Clara | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed FC Porto | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked FC Porto | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Porto | 49c | 41.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed FC Porto | 49c | 41.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed FC Porto | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed FC Porto | 39c | 33.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked FC Porto | 50c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed FC Porto | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed CD Santa Clara | 59c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed CD Santa Clara | 59c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked FC Porto | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed CD Santa Clara | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.