TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Manuel La Sernaof Juan Manuel La Serna, Valerio Aboian
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5fea…78b1backed Juan Manuel La Serna4c16,302$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,660.8137741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Juan Manuel La Serna4c14,116$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,530.728,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Manuel La Serna3c9,205$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,917.546,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Valerio Aboian70c6,940$4,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,865.37236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel La Serna25c4,769$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,592.8511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna11c4,035$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,603.457,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Manuel La Serna61c3,441$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.474,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d93…0eccbacked Juan Manuel La Serna59c2,501$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.73732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Juan Manuel La Serna55c2,398$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.251,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…570abacked Valerio Aboian55c1,734$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.63650%18 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Valerio Aboian33c1,585$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.424,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Valerio Aboian51c1,376$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Manuel La Serna30c1,322$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.698,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Valerio Aboian49c1,005$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.116,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Valerio Aboian68c871.76$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.4817359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Juan Manuel La Serna69c863.89$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.891,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Valerio Aboian39c734.88$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28426451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna3c680$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.621317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Juan Manuel La Serna63c597$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7262956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Manuel La Serna4c557.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.23,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Valerio Aboian36c475.05$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.144,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Valerio Aboian44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna5c392.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.598655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Juan Manuel La Serna47c380.7$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7785634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Juan Manuel La Serna54c362.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.454,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Valerio Aboian53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Valerio Aboian30c330.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4751339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c5…dbf1backed Juan Manuel La Serna4c307.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.484240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+139.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Manuel La Serna49c305.08$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.939,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Juan Manuel La Serna30c299.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.553,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Valerio Aboian73c238.43$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.724,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Manuel La Serna52c229.14$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.662,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Valerio Aboian43c216.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.544,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Valerio Aboian42c208.6$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1334847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Juan Manuel La Serna34c199.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.993537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Juan Manuel La Serna13c174.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9720938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfde3…67b6backed Valerio Aboian7c172.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Valerio Aboian59c168.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Valerio Aboian67c166.46$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.495,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Manuel La Serna28c150.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.153,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Juan Manuel La Serna8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11532935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Juan Manuel La Serna50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.567838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Juan Manuel La Serna19c110$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5520857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7044…5104backed Juan Manuel La Serna49c106.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.34148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+103.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Valerio Aboian49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.942,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Manuel La Serna35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.992,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna70c99.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Juan Manuel La Serna49c94.06$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.522,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Juan Manuel La Serna63c93.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.761,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d5…52d1backed Juan Manuel La Serna49c91.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc67…6f13backed Juan Manuel La Serna69c88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Juan Manuel La Serna47c81.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.187,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Valerio Aboian35c76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.664537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Valerio Aboian57c71.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.552,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Juan Manuel La Serna67c65.69$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.693,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna27c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.85,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Valerio Aboian41c57.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8585624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Juan Manuel La Serna32c57.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2759954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Juan Manuel La Serna61c54.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9843067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Valerio Aboian53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3172…e940backed Valerio Aboian53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Valerio Aboian42c46.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5321259.4%126 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Valerio Aboian69c45$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8831366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Valerio Aboian73c42.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.991,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a09…4a73backed Juan Manuel La Serna34c42.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Juan Manuel La Serna48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.675752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5657…0e72backed Valerio Aboian49c41.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.341788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+62.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Juan Manuel La Serna36c40.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.132,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Juan Manuel La Serna25c40.66$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.373240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Valerio Aboian53c37.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Valerio Aboian68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Juan Manuel La Serna44c31.48$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6192145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Valerio Aboian37c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.471,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4427…d7a8backed Valerio Aboian55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154744.7%21 W · 26 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-32.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Juan Manuel La Serna68c24.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.816246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Valerio Aboian49c22.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef6…9331backed Juan Manuel La Serna46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Juan Manuel La Serna48c20.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8490340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Valerio Aboian66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.288273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b4…1875backed Juan Manuel La Serna73c17.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.745261.5%32 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ea…8665backed Valerio Aboian70c14.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+128.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.