TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfde3…67b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.41
Parma: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Tunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montesbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+296%+$35.49
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Parma: Susan Bandecchi vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboianbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Valencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.18
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Zagreb: Zsombor Piros vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$15.31
Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumarbacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palanbacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Paris: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$10.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$42.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$10.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$8.19
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+523.1%+$62.77
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$53.36
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$15.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$5.09
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$4.36
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+360%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$7.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$20.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$9.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.