CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7145498e79798769d687ccf719cc63f82cc64a2acc017507184b493d87b9aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 46c | 15,041$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.67 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed SPARTA | 57c | 4,428$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.25 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 40c | 3,523$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.02 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lavked | 40c | 3,506$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.1 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed SPARTA | 51c | 3,322$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.99 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed SPARTA | 56c | 3,000$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.98 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed SPARTA | 52c | 2,350$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.99 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked SPARTA | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed SPARTA | 55c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.3 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed SPARTA | 55c | 1,443$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.11 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed SPARTA | 51c | 1,154$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.99 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed SPARTA | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 45c | 994$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 43c | 825.69$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.12 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Lavked | 61c | 754.55$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.91 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 37c | 753.41$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed SPARTA | 55c | 441.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.02 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed SPARTA | 60c | 416.41$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed SPARTA | 68c | 416.26$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked SPARTA | 75c | 369.44$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Lavked | 51c | 302.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Lavked | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Lavked | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Lavked | 45c | 254$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lavked | 33c | 243.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 41c | 231.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed SPARTA | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed SPARTA | 58c | 176.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked Lavked | 34c | 174.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Lavked | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed SPARTA | 53c | 147$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Lavked | 19c | 124$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Lavked | 48c | 122.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked SPARTA | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA | 65c | 114.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Lavked | 31c | 102.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Lavked | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Lavked | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Lavked | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Lavked | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…8caabacked SPARTA | 52c | 98.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Lavked | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed SPARTA | 57c | 96.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 47c | 96.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 45c | 91.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 45c | 91.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed SPARTA | 63c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 56c | 67.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Lavked | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed Lavked | 44c | 54.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked SPARTA | 56c | 53.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 49c | 46.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SPARTA | 62c | 43.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…c024backed Lavked | 47c | 37.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed SPARTA | 55c | 36.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lavked | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Lavked | 42c | 26.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…67b6backed Lavked | 45c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Lavked | 44c | 26.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked SPARTA | 68c | 25.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked SPARTA | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 662 | 48.6%322 W · 340 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5782backed Lavked | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed SPARTA | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SPARTA | 47c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked SPARTA | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.