CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63993eaa14ccb7f54786b70fa0791f736ed34c07a72d78756a5bd94e0748f262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof SPARTA, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 30c | 436.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lavked | 56c | 184.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 55c | 116.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed SPARTA | 50c | 113.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked Lavked | 57c | 104.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SPARTA | 67c | 102.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked SPARTA | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed SPARTA | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked SPARTA | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Lavked | 46c | 97.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 54c | 88.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed SPARTA | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed SPARTA | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SPARTA | 52c | 82.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed SPARTA | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed SPARTA | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Lavked | 75c | 37.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Lavked | 43c | 31.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 63c | 29.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Lavked | 50c | 27.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 49c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed SPARTA | 61c | 19.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.