Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e47a698a6857a89d951d608b8919574bc5ee2d39de86c2d8c56f39476170a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 12,576$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.14 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 4,025$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.42 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 77c | 3,756$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.73 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 33c | 2,944$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.82 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,874$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.25 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 60c | 2,758$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 77c | 2,377$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.58 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 61c | 2,127$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 2,058$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.36 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 47c | 2,052$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.4 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 1,543$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.32 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 14c | 1,393$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.86 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 1,234$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.78 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,216$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.66 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 37c | 902.48$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 14c | 890$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 14c | 821.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 772.41$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 57c | 555.83$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 533$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 16c | 532.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 79c | 427.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 52c | 383.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 59c | 367.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Yes | 54c | 362.82$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Yes | 58c | 348.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…67b6backed No | 3c | 344.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 61c | 326.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 34c | 321.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 38c | 318.02$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 298.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.51 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Yes | 25c | 280$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 257.77$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 246.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 50c | 234.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a6…fec7backed No | 39c | 229.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 204.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 59c | 199.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Yes | 45c | 199.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +480.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 14c | 194.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…7735backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 76c | 164.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 21c | 162$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 156.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed No | 26c | 153.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8332backed Yes | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 70c | 144.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 13c | 139.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 16c | 134.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Yes | 61c | 130.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 33c | 129.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 32c | 128.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 64c | 126.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…e965backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 48c | 114$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 55c | 113.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Yes | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 66c | 108.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 26c | 106.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 20c | 105.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 29c | 102.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…9ebbbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…4bdebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 50c | 98.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 25c | 91.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 39c | 83.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 25c | 82.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 38cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3962backed Yes | 14c | 73.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 69.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…c19ebacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 32c | 57.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 69c | 57.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 56c | 52.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Yes | 50c | 51.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 40c | 50.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Yes | 64c | 50.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.