Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d4398377e2f4ee7ae244b4d6f4e8770240bef27ad2daf1220456ac253dfbcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 24c | 57,379$13,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,607.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 25c | 38,165$9,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,681.8 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 62c | 21,937$13,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,509.76 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 69c | 21,124$14,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,575.37 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 20,477$5,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,629.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 75c | 18,300$13,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,725 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 69c | 13,910$9,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,614.95 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 12,586$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3328…e6b8backed No | 37c | 12,496$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,890.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 77c | 9,914$7,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,634.12 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 25c | 9,550$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,175.72 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 77c | 6,457$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.8 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked No | 23c | 6,443$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 31c | 6,250$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.5 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 5,668$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 76c | 5,264$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.64 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 5,096$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.08 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…762abacked Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 23c | 4,474$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 26c | 4,183$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.82 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 23c | 4,005$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.85 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 74c | 3,333$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 56c | 3,186$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 60c | 2,815$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.38 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 35c | 2,769$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 29c | 2,749$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.15 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,653$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.96 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Yes | 63c | 2,410$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 77c | 2,300$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 28c | 2,086$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.26 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 78c | 2,018$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…8a8bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,964$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 55c | 1,888$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.67 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 1,874$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 73c | 1,722$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 76c | 1,661$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,586$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Yes | 73c | 1,561$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 1,505$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.22 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 79c | 1,501$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.96 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 24c | 1,320$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.38 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 76c | 1,199$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.48 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 77c | 1,162$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.05 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 65c | 1,097$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.59 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 62c | 1,089$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 32c | 1,079$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.24 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 917.89$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.48 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed No | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 22c | 843.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 822.83$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 76c | 798.92$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 21c | 735.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.46 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 71c | 708.42$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.3 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 651.57$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 23c | 605.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 55c | 600$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.83 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 51c | 588.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Yes | 75c | 506.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 16c | 504.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 21c | 468.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba8…833abacked Yes | 77c | 463.25$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 71c | 455.83$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 44c | 455.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 75c | 441.45$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.47 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 75c | 441.32$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 51c | 415.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 75c | 403.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 29c | 400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 396.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 24c | 394.72$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.55 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 41c | 391.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.15 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 75c | 370$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 76c | 360$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.4 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 22c | 332.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.54 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 77c | 332.59$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 23c | 332.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 77c | 332.29$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.46 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 54c | 316.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.76 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 75c | 311.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…e965backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed Yes | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked No | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c82…14debacked Yes | 77c | 290.39$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.