Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacaba7fc18587446a0ed639eb25ba80a51187d2fd706620869dd4ce463dd7457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 8,600$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.97 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 7,533$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 5,067$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.59 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 37c | 3,173$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,632$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.49 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 9c | 2,133$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,115$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 57c | 1,730$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 80c | 1,613$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.68 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 4c | 1,423$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 9c | 1,140$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 9c | 999.91$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 967.07$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.47 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 951.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 42c | 951.13$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.89 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 63c | 906$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 789.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 38c | 741.74$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 8c | 623.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 546.02$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 38c | 525.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 501$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed No | 65c | 464.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…aa2dbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Yes | 6c | 316.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Yes | 47c | 310.13$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 45c | 277.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 9c | 269.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…7198backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…ca74backed Yes | 10c | 241.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 60c | 230.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 10c | 229$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 53c | 222.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 6c | 221.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 57c | 215$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…aafbbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Yes | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 9c | 189.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 19c | 168$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes | 38c | 130.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 79c | 120.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked No | 53c | 115.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed No | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 68c | 109.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 36c | 108$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 50c | 104.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…bab3backed Yes | 16c | 103.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 65c | 100.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…5c6fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…1f1ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed No | 68c | 88.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 16c | 83.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 50c | 75.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 63c | 70.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 38c | 62.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…e107backed Yes | 45c | 56.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…23b3backed Yes | 56c | 53.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 53c | 46.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed No | 53c | 45.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…c267backed Yes | 52c | 35.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…2d4bbacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e6…45cbbacked Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…cb2bbacked Yes | 50c | 31.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 57c | 25.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 58c | 20.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…1d8dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…8a08backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.