Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67023049e969230d457466e634c801ff35e5b67395d687781792a9603b70db4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 43c | 12,808$5,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,507.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 4,749$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.04 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 2,558$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.49 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 46c | 2,362$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.25 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 2,309$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.9 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.97 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 1,753$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.15 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,405$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 256 | 23.8%61 W · 195 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Yes | 35c | 1,351$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 56c | 814.42$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.17 | 175 | 59.4%104 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 772.27$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.37 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 723.2$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.74 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 39c | 646.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 59c | 592$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 64c | 493.76$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.01 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…3fa2backed No | 57c | 466.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 59c | 460$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 41c | 402.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1,531 | 55%842 W · 689 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 342.03$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 67c | 336.24$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 43c | 305.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 58c | 284.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 57c | 262.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 67c | 249.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 44c | 247.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 244.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 40c | 243.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 757 | 43.7%331 W · 426 L | -35.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 58c | 239$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 36c | 235$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 284 | 53.2%151 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 200.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 42c | 198.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 10c | 193.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 38c | 182.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 43c | 179.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 63c | 177.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 61c | 157$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 64c | 135$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Yes | 47c | 117.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 116.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 100.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 858 | 47.8%410 W · 448 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 97.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 841 | 53.6%451 W · 390 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 81.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 793 | 55.4%439 W · 354 L | +36.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 42c | 77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 44c | 67.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 293 | 64.5%189 W · 104 L | +29.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 37c | 66.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 44c | 64.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 38c | 64.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 34c | 61.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…c73ebacked Yes | 74c | 52.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 39c | 50.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 62c | 44.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…91abbacked Yes | 43c | 43.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 57c | 43.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 37c | 42.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 40.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 32c | 35.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.