TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Manish Sureshkumarof Alastair Gray, Manish Sureshkumar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Alastair Gray30c43,886$13,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,042.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Manish Sureshkumar64c13,691$8,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,936.171,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Manish Sureshkumar60c12,938$7,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,208.189,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alastair Gray23c7,857$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.1311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Alastair Gray41c6,000$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.872,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Manish Sureshkumar59c5,000$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.4522056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Manish Sureshkumar67c3,291$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.284,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Manish Sureshkumar77c3,278$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.0118932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Manish Sureshkumar67c2,600$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8623868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Manish Sureshkumar66c2,472$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.055,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…8dd9backed Manish Sureshkumar79c2,426$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.854562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Manish Sureshkumar25c2,082$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.644,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Manish Sureshkumar15c1,897$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.058,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Manish Sureshkumar68c1,870$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.051,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Alastair Gray25c1,725$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.351,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manish Sureshkumar61c1,555$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.958,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alastair Gray45c1,322$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.819,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Manish Sureshkumar69c1,287$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5352854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Manish Sureshkumar12c1,240$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.5627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alastair Gray29c1,155$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.473,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Manish Sureshkumar78c1,153$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.171,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Alastair Gray14c1,037$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.142030%6 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Manish Sureshkumar67c1,009$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0213050.8%66 W · 64 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Manish Sureshkumar11c999.89$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Alastair Gray45c877.81$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0125245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Alastair Gray40c870.77$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.039839.8%39 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Alastair Gray39c765.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Manish Sureshkumar69c685.96$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Alastair Gray45c666.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Alastair Gray44c599.96$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.984,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Manish Sureshkumar11c599.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.692839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Alastair Gray40c579.43$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.771,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alastair Gray26c563.1$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.96,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Alastair Gray28c517.72$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6158639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x274e…1d72backed Manish Sureshkumar12c499.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.993732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+93.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Alastair Gray41c488.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019757.4%113 W · 84 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Alastair Gray43c487.53$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Alastair Gray24c467.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.812352.8%65 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Alastair Gray44c456.71$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.531,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Alastair Gray14c455.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.741,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Alastair Gray35c433.95$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9429533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Manish Sureshkumar17c399.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.136,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Manish Sureshkumar59c352$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.712,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Alastair Gray45c340.89$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.421451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Alastair Gray45c339.4$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.572,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Manish Sureshkumar11c318.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.177,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Alastair Gray40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12032649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Manish Sureshkumar68c293.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2427051.5%139 W · 131 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Alastair Gray40c274.07$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5651339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Manish Sureshkumar39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4128550.2%143 W · 142 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Manish Sureshkumar55c243.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.946,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Alastair Gray68c234.5$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9756070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Alastair Gray14c222.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.211,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Alastair Gray61c213.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13085568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…1422backed Alastair Gray35c211.89$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.161040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alastair Gray25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alastair Gray41c186.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.952,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Manish Sureshkumar63c185.92$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.995,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Manish Sureshkumar12c179.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8150340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Alastair Gray75c166.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Alastair Gray41c164.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.568338.2%261 W · 422 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Alastair Gray20c162.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4432853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Alastair Gray46c155.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.54,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Alastair Gray49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7032935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alastair Gray24c140.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.262,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Alastair Gray10c138.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.033240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Manish Sureshkumar52c136.62$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.214,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Alastair Gray32c131.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.538522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Manish Sureshkumar37c129.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Alastair Gray23c129.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.36536.9%24 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Manish Sureshkumar67c125$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2543067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Alastair Gray33c119.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Alastair Gray40c118.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4325763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Alastair Gray34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Alastair Gray45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Alastair Gray45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Alastair Gray39c102.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Manish Sureshkumar63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Manish Sureshkumar10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9023942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Alastair Gray25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Manish Sureshkumar71c89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8192674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Manish Sureshkumar73c81.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.947473%54 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Manish Sureshkumar67c80.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.991,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Manish Sureshkumar13c77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9990340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed Alastair Gray19c76.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Alastair Gray23c76.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.418655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Manish Sureshkumar55c75.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.738643%37 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Manish Sureshkumar65c73.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.881,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Alastair Gray41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Alastair Gray46c67.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8338246.1%176 W · 206 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alastair Gray30c65.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.693,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Manish Sureshkumar65c64.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36a3…2e00backed Alastair Gray39c64.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256631.8%21 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Alastair Gray29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.458438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Alastair Gray31c59.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1873549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Alastair Gray49c59.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0114…fbfabacked Manish Sureshkumar65c58.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.462751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alastair Gray35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,45645.1%656 W · 800 L+42.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfde3…67b6backed Alastair Gray20c54.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.012030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Alastair Gray40c52.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.