MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da5b5a9ee47fad6ef975f9ecbb17296ab3c054afcc95676f5091ff43ff9d412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $715,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $710,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 372,504$158,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,015.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 114,621$62,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,958.31 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,799.99 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 32,328$18,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,749.96 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 30,989$17,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,973.52 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 30,464$17,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,973.52 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 26,316$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 23,199$13,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,223.43 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 18,502$10,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,176.24 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 16,583$8,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,954.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 15,903$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,587.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 15,780$6,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,980.95 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 14,047$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 12,557$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,157.25 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 11,908$6,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,787.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 8,377$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.67 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 8,066$6,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.78 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 7,819$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.87 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 5,612$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.68 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 11c | 4,788$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,375$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.3 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,100$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 3,891$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,490$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.3 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 3,274$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 3,143$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.39 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 3,049$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 2,982$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.46 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,653$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 2,553$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1e…8898backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 2,412$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…ea79backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,400$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,255$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.35 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,195$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,001$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.55 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,925$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.4 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,902$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.17 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,763$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,757$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.24 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Boston Red Sox | 20c | 1,423$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 1,375$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 10c | 1,332$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,311$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,270$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.9 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 1,182$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.32 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 1,170$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.75 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 1,000$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.7 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Boston Red Sox | 7c | 959.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 944$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.15 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 935.92$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 11c | 901.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 831$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 760.82$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.63 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 758.91$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 666.36$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.15 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 637.59$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.94 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 603.97$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 593.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 589.81$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.09 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 583$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 562.12$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Boston Red Sox | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 493.32$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.04 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 473.69$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 466.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 412$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 408.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 385.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Boston Red Sox | 13c | 367.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 360.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 360.47$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.47 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 357.93$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 356.63$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 349.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 344$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 333.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 332.76$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 308$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 304.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.27 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 302.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.19 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 294.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 258.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.