TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$210,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes54c130,812$70,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,100.1715034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No45c24,355$10,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,916.714146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Yes54c20,208$10,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,307.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No47c18,449$8,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,670.919743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c16,771$6,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,263.513,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No45c15,796$7,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,048.9113844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c14,003$6,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,548.5999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c12,269$5,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,420.5850449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…f29bbacked Yes56c8,248$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.541275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No47c7,720$3,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.410539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c7,636$3,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,506.341,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c7,363$2,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.254,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No46c7,069$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.572060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked No47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No45c3,963$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.355950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c3,583$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.9168450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No48c3,320$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.253345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No45c3,252$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.512638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No47c2,848$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.6741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No45c2,753$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.842,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed Yes56c2,548$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.965442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes56c2,345$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.642365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No47c2,154$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No45c1,587$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.0740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c1,348$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No45c1,280$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.114035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c1,079$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No2c1,031$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6460832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c1,007$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.81,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c989.06$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No26c966.69$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9611820.3%24 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-49.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No47c957.44$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No45c952.67$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.0545450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No7c942.6$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.871,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No45c760.87$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7522658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed No45c750$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Yes55c558.18$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.183253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed No46c543.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.832152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed No45c524$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c512.24$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.141,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes54c460.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5621354.5%116 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No46c410.51$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19015655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No46c391.95$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c375.93$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.591,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes54c359.81$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3126853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No46c357$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes56c355$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.29634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf47c…e36bbacked No46c345.37$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c324.19$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes56c313$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.729237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c288.54$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked No47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No47c274.36$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.574542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c268.19$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3789050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No5c232.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c218.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.31,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No47c214.29$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5433161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f36…5fb3backed No47c206.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes54c199.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.943063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No47c192.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2131952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No17c189.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6412052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5714549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes60c169.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6541348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No14c167.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0710556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No45c139.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.938961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4523855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed No26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256836.8%25 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No23c91.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3945841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes55c90.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.196651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.297552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No18c83.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.284143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed No46c81.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.633135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No46c80.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.947761%47 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe61d…5f97backed Yes55c79.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.852040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No46c74.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.319750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4311350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No46c69.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9120252.5%106 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabf8…4d13backed No48c64.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No47c60.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.59054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed No47c58.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.442020%4 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-56.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No46c52.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.355561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes55c50.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9110154.5%55 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No45c50.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.685147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No46c48.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.327651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.311656.9%66 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No47c45.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.396243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed No49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No47c39.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7628847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.484445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.