TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Monte, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$386,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked G272c38,000$27,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,46064852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Monte28c25,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.9875652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Monte27c24,489$6,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,612.1541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked G272c20,046$14,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,612.7538358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked G273c20,035$14,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,409.4619757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G272c17,326$12,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,831.675,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked G273c17,145$12,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,630.0922354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Monte27c17,007$4,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,631.068043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Monte27c15,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G272c15,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Monte28c14,148$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Monte28c12,500$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.9616245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…86b0backed Monte28c10,714$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed G272c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800.2137157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Monte11c8,622$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.881,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Monte27c8,230$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22247147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed G273c7,974$5,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.8615947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked G274c7,649$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.6514044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked G273c7,527$5,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.425261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte27c7,068$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.042,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Monte6c5,504$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0121522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Monte13c5,487$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.23,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Monte27c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Monte28c4,470$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.67354.8%40 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed G273c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.5911253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Monte7c3,666$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.81,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Monte26c3,075$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.427441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Monte27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Monte11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33069624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Monte15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.994454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Monte26c2,924$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.931,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4b…5345backed G273c2,560$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.23966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte12c2,462$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.112,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed G273c2,457$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.3612451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Monte28c2,106$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6917540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…a94abacked Monte27c2,100$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5674434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Monte26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Monte26c2,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Monte12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Monte28c1,964$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55013732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd23c…07cebacked Monte27c1,938$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Monte27c1,839$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49723952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Monte21c1,784$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.25,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Monte27c1,750$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.510850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Monte29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Monte11c1,673$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18420041.5%83 W · 117 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Monte28c1,651$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Monte29c1,600$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46025145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a18…b1bcbacked G272c1,596$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Monte25c1,554$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9532732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Monte27c1,534$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.0720249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Monte27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40512426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82ac…cf23backed Monte29c1,474$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Monte28c1,435$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.728549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G271c1,361$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6926054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Monte22c1,330$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8824939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38d6…969fbacked G274c1,208$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1611949.6%59 W · 60 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte13c1,206$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.976,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed G277c1,139$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6317054.7%93 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Monte29c1,132$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4315740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Monte8c1,123$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5321135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte9c1,089$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.185,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed G273c1,014$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.722757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Monte27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed G271c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2905639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9558…9579backed Monte7c999.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.996240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Monte27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Monte27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Monte27c999.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Monte10c983.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3316920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed G273c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.916254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked G273c888$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7612950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Monte6c842$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.674,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed G272c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed G272c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.339643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fa…26d9backed Monte28c815.96$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.472744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Monte5c775.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Monte26c755.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9955843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a9…5aa1backed Monte4c749.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-69.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Monte27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked G273c723.56$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6620458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Monte7c704.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3140137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Monte28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19614137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked G272c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4439157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed G271c685.54$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8110551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed G273c682.87$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3716761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked Monte29c675.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969443.6%41 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Monte19c658.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.22,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Monte27c600$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16018543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed G271c575$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.752055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1566…4845backed Monte28c555$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210f…d98cbacked G272c555$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Monte26c554.96$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2938650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed G272c551.39$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.395749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G280c525$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.213,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Monte6c514.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8766446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked G273c500.03$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0119351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked G271c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1452360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked G271c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14538157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.