CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e5b844259c70d89f6f35a92d72563ca68f96fb490b744367c0cacb38e97cf0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 58c | 3,249$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.38 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 44c | 1,785$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.03 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 22c | 989.14$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.28 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 947.26$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.62 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 59c | 564.4$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 532.61$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 56c | 463.18$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Over | 44c | 405.05$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.22 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Over | 35c | 394.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 66c | 296.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 31c | 249.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 65c | 245.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 223.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Over | 40c | 167.86$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Under | 60c | 140.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…0626backed Under | 76c | 132.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 35c | 125.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 40c | 122$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 35c | 93.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 40c | 90.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 43c | 87.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 76c | 67.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 19c | 66.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Over | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 64c | 50.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 42c | 44.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…f291backed Over | 47c | 36.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 56c | 30.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…f0e8backed Over | 40c | 29.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Over | 43c | 27.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Over | 40c | 24.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.