TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of G2, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3bae…885abacked G245c22,000$9,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,170.9327658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Monte55c14,249$7,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,834.4116245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Monte55c11,662$6,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,414.3223852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Monte59c9,000$5,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,302.98043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked Monte57c6,491$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.871338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G243c5,323$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.9736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked G245c5,197$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,858.359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Monte56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked G242c4,740$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.323,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Monte56c3,700$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.9778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G241c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77026952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked G245c2,291$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.641,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked G245c2,270$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.4416248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked G245c2,200$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21016447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Monte57c1,906$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.5653746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Monte57c1,494$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.4333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Monte56c1,477$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.0226743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Monte39c1,284$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.342,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed G243c1,233$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.8628960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed G243c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.794261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed G243c999.97$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9813646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…55a2backed G244c995.45$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.452240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Monte56c899.95$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.9733237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Monte49c734.95$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7224939.8%99 W · 150 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked G257c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7516344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc1da…dffbbacked G262c696.89$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.994040%16 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked G247c639.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.389153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked G244c495.45$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4539847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked G243c477.29$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.061353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed G258c472.54$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6345465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed G245c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4419238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G246c424.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.045,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Monte56c418.01$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23412355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Monte53c417.09$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.061,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked G261c417$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6337149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Monte57c387.98$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.156126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Monte58c371.67$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5747447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed G241c359.9$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3425941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed G262c315.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.041,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed G259c308.63$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8529052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Monte57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17126341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed G241c299.98$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9912551.2%64 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Monte37c270.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked G243c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed G244c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2714044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked G244c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2721362.4%133 W · 80 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed G245c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked G246c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.397051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Monte57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11458254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed G240c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12050947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea2…caa2backed G244c185.27$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Monte58c173$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3427744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed G244c156.34$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.557045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked G244c152.56$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4348845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8c…f0ddbacked G266c150.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.553455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Monte57c139.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Monte55c138.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5838848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…0626backed G278c128.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed G241c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9515134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Monte32c116.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.858441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed G245c115.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5632138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Monte57c110.59$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.436749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Monte55c108.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.644552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed G247c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3833354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Monte38c101.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.52,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked G244c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5625143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6ac0backed G240c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609252.2%48 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Monte58c97.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1116047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed G243c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0298856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed G245c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8920556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Monte54c87.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.889144%40 W · 51 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked G243c77.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4136541.9%153 W · 212 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed Monte58c73.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4415351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed G247c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1627554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Monte57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed G243c70$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.918145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked G244c65.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9125650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked G261c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5737757.8%218 W · 159 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G242c62.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.161,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93aa…6ac0backed G243c61.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+192.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed G240c57.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed G244c56.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8110642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Monte57c50.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7395849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x621a…3e19backed G243c50.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.566659.1%39 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152f…1ee0backed G262c48.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.034057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Monte55c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed G243c46.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3818748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed G244c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4532357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked G244c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4516946.2%78 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed Monte56c44.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ff…b4dabacked G245c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked Monte57c44.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.192744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked G244c42.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.614955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed G248c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.862941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed G244c40.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9129757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Monte49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed G246c40.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6311259.8%67 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Monte56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.495642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Monte56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.421650.9%110 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Monte58c39.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.17542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.