MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae5c7085fdfa01fb136b59f04b6ecc4afea205df50dc6351bcb5fba2e50d95b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 53,889$16,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,905.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 42,971$18,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,063.6 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 31,478$16,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,852.46 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 23,568$10,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,198.18 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 19,300$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 17,541$7,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,998.16 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 17,311$9,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,521.31 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 15,500$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,679.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 12,836$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.24 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 12,760$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.11 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 10,044$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.77 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 8,566$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.3 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 7,436$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 7,418$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 7,216$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.44 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 6,500$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 35c | 6,097$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 5,816$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 4,854$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 4,497$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 4,339$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.79 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…5085backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 4,280$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,705$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,670$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,442$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.63 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,721$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 2,444$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,382$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.04 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,309$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.04 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…bdf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 2,298$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,270$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.45 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 2,113$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.53 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 2,087$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,973$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.97 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 1,898$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.67 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 1,870$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.58 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,606$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.51 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,362$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,317$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.91 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 1,312$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.39 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 1,305$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,286$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.97 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,269$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.36 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,195$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,113$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 1,103$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,074$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.07 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,030$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.41 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,017$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.79 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 966.1$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.02 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 943.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 910.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 811.97$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…6daabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 736.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 700$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 693.53$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 680.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 663.09$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 658.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 657.75$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.29 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 654.51$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 652.83$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.33 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 650.93$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 634.63$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.14 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 599.71$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.67 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 595.89$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 529.04$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 512.46$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 499.65$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.82 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f2…876dbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 467.86$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 447.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.79 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 442$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.87 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 432.47$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.7 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 428.78$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…a0a6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 425$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 15.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.