Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3276501e13e81b3d5f5aefec1b074aec61a2dccc0a13360f18895dfc03284c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,670,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,608,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,670,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbee5…a636backed Yes | 53c | 2,167,743$1,153,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153,636.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 47c | 297,050$139,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,436.49 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 46c | 226,892$104,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,790.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 47c | 200,000$93,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 196,306$91,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,829.23 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 27c | 178,202$48,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,348.38 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 47c | 116,621$54,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,785.11 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 47c | 114,258$53,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,744.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 47c | 96,000$45,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,880 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 61,547$28,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,687.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 47c | 58,068$27,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,776.04 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 47c | 57,747$27,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,605.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 47c | 55,853$25,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,862.72 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 47c | 45,996$21,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,378.09 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 47c | 37,021$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,621.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 55c | 27,348$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 47c | 25,822$12,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,685.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 47c | 24,018$11,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,729.29 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 23,005$7,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,493.66 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 46c | 22,235$10,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,006.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 47c | 22,013$10,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,676.66 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 47c | 21,142$9,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,205.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 21,000$9,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,130 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 47c | 19,451$9,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 19,000$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 47c | 18,628$8,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,872.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 17,040$8,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,984.12 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 47c | 14,405$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 48c | 13,440$6,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,988.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 18c | 12,157$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,983.18 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 35c | 12,130$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,886.02 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 46c | 12,017$5,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.75 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 47c | 11,700$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,201 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 47c | 10,752$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,698.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 10,710$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,647.01 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 47c | 9,162$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,855.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 8,153$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.99 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 47c | 7,872$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,172.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 47c | 7,262$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 47c | 6,604$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.12 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 18c | 6,357$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.44 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…67b6backed Yes | 0c | 6,162$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 29c | 6,151$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.76 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…961ebacked No | 47c | 5,676$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 47c | 4,992$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 47c | 4,800$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 78c | 4,790$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 49c | 4,335$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 47c | 4,234$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.12 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 48c | 4,115$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 3,569$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.31 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 3,557$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.14 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed No | 47c | 3,010$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.24 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 47c | 2,996$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.49 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 47c | 2,898$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 57c | 2,681$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.84 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 2,560$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.75 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 47c | 2,380$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.16 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 46c | 2,368$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 47c | 2,350$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.36 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 46c | 2,135$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.23 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 72c | 1,852$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.79 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 46c | 1,840$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 70c | 1,709$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.17 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 47c | 1,638$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Yes | 55c | 1,618$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed No | 7c | 1,595$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +429.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 48c | 1,577$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.08 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 52c | 1,404$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 8c | 1,334$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…c4d1backed No | 48c | 1,285$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 9c | 1,268$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.26 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,254$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 30c | 1,174$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.36 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…9a38backed Yes | 69c | 1,168$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.