Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa6655dd08fd9b658e365aae3958dbcbfe6420761bb33d69b10747b8352a1595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 13c | 20,381$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 26c | 19,000$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 15,937$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.78 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 74c | 15,636$11,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.41 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 4,992$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,726$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 1c | 4,069$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 3,087$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 2,150$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 27c | 2,054$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.67 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 73c | 1,904$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 1,784$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 2c | 1,505$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 11c | 1,453$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,258$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 26c | 1,038$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 994$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 929.22$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked No | 74c | 746$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 528.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 3c | 515$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 5c | 415.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 25c | 391.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 27c | 305.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Yes | 26c | 277.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 6c | 243.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 233.46$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 230.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fb…4930backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 162.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 78c | 128.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed No | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 112.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2716…a6f4backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 27c | 111.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 27c | 103$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 100.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 74c | 99.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 27c | 91.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037f…dd7ebacked Yes | 27c | 89.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d174backed Yes | 22c | 83.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 82.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Yes | 26c | 76.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 27c | 75.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Yes | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 60.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…a5eabacked Yes | 26c | 57.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 73c | 55.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 37.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 37.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed No | 74c | 24.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 74c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d1a5backed No | 74c | 16.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.