Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe2caaed9d5d2fc88bd53dd0383657e884ce98389629e25760fde708e0a5b875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 22c | 19,728$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,387.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 22c | 18,840$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,694.97 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 78c | 15,934$12,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,428.81 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 15c | 10,283$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,727.39 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 78c | 9,299$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,253.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 8,251$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.93 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 6,536$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,042.57 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,664$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,250$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.27 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,795$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 23c | 1,742$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 1,722$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.4 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,649$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.07 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +193.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 77c | 1,156$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.14 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 79c | 1,081$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…8f5fbacked Yes | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 960.11$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.77 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 69c | 796.5$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 22c | 791.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 13c | 728$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 522.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed No | 78c | 512.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 19c | 475.37$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 14cpaid | +315.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 25c | 415.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.27 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 54c | 383$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 78c | 380.52$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 43c | 361.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 9c | 350.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 8c | 348.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 58c | 341.05$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 23c | 330.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 300.12$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 46c | 225.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 80c | 219.21$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 18c | 210.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 26c | 201$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 7c | 167.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 73c | 163.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 21c | 161.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 161.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.96 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 157.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Yes | 74c | 141.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 77c | 127$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 113.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 19c | 102.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…1df8backed No | 79c | 100.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 23c | 99.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 97.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 33c | 91.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a0…a8a6backed Yes | 16c | 88.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 44c | 84.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 73c | 81.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc96…1245backed Yes | 71c | 74.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 72.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 23c | 66.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 63.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc67…6f13backed No | 78c | 62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 78c | 58.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 57.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 78c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 22c | 51.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 46.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 78c | 40.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 38.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 33.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 50c | 31.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 74c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e8…7e5cbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 17.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 78c | 13.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 79c | 12.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.