TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Paris: Kimberly Birrell vs Katie Boulter

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katie Boulterof Kimberly Birrell, Katie Boulter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Kimberly Birrell41c63,168$26,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,011.0213843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Katie Boulter52c29,579$15,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,344.948,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x831d…0705backed Kimberly Birrell0c9,006$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6626563.8%169 W · 96 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kimberly Birrell16c6,992$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.1193740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Katie Boulter63c5,986$3,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.747,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Katie Boulter50c3,267$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6352,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Kimberly Birrell13c2,996$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.4531736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Katie Boulter76c2,933$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.324,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9f…26e8backed Kimberly Birrell12c2,927$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.28647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Kimberly Birrell57c1,966$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Katie Boulter80c1,880$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.341,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Katie Boulter78c1,427$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.374,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x841d…4a16backed Katie Boulter69c1,299$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.84770.2%33 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Katie Boulter65c1,222$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.313,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Kimberly Birrell22c1,201$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5557447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kimberly Birrell22c1,129$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Katie Boulter78c977.91$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.395,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Kimberly Birrell53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Katie Boulter69c869.68$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.322,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Katie Boulter69c860.52$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.493,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katie Boulter58c799.8$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.227,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Katie Boulter73c593.59$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.186,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Katie Boulter71c561.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5915261.2%93 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Kimberly Birrell18c556.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kimberly Birrell13c506.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.864,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde4a…ee6dbacked Kimberly Birrell10c499.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Katie Boulter66c477.48$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2443067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Kimberly Birrell12c395.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.395552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Kimberly Birrell8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Kimberly Birrell13c372.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4861924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Katie Boulter74c351.02$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2780341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Katie Boulter71c248.14$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.530053.7%161 W · 139 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Kimberly Birrell26c246.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1650340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff50…3679backed Kimberly Birrell21c233.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492035%7 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Katie Boulter77c205.54$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.36,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Katie Boulter46c198.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7310144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Katie Boulter65c191.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6732853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d6…30babacked Katie Boulter75c146.78$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Kimberly Birrell27c145.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.167,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a6…b9debacked Katie Boulter70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Katie Boulter71c141.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1371165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Katie Boulter72c132.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.571,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86aa…0d32backed Katie Boulter76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.586363.5%40 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Katie Boulter73c123.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2988560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kimberly Birrell33c113.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.62,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kimberly Birrell19c113.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.938,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Katie Boulter69c110.34$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.741,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Katie Boulter78c103.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.61,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Katie Boulter74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2656062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Kimberly Birrell26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Katie Boulter71c96$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Kimberly Birrell26c93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1865849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Kimberly Birrell28c87.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.718330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Kimberly Birrell23c87.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Katie Boulter67c82.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.911,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Katie Boulter66c72.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d5…138ebacked Katie Boulter43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.778758.6%51 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Kimberly Birrell44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Katie Boulter73c66.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.262,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Kimberly Birrell23c65.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9185624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Katie Boulter77c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Katie Boulter79c61.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.975225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kimberly Birrell23c61.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.292,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Katie Boulter74c60.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.773,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Kimberly Birrell25c60.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1654746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Katie Boulter80c55.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.36869.1%47 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Kimberly Birrell30c53.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0723658.1%137 W · 99 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Katie Boulter62c52.72$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8753736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Katie Boulter75c52.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.325354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Katie Boulter70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Kimberly Birrell27c49.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4318551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Katie Boulter71c48.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1229241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Katie Boulter73c46.53$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5675262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Katie Boulter69c43.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4813451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Katie Boulter44c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8837156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Katie Boulter70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8612166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a98…8754backed Katie Boulter58c41.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Kimberly Birrell26c41.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8274346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Katie Boulter78c40.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9839154.2%212 W · 179 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Katie Boulter51c38.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.928643%37 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Kimberly Birrell26c38.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0190340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Katie Boulter60c37.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1322755.1%125 W · 102 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Katie Boulter80c37.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5878350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Katie Boulter74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7833655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Katie Boulter74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.787273.6%53 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Katie Boulter75c31.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.962,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Katie Boulter68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4146453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef7…9266backed Katie Boulter68c29.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.424564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfde3…67b6backed Katie Boulter62c28.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.942030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300a…40d3backed Katie Boulter70c28.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3811469.3%79 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Katie Boulter46c28.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2623754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Katie Boulter78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8231366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Katie Boulter46c25.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.839639.6%38 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Katie Boulter71c24.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0621551.6%111 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Katie Boulter75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Katie Boulter73c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.373770.3%26 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Katie Boulter73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.131,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9d…c024backed Katie Boulter71c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.852951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x157e…7acabacked Katie Boulter70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.526169.3%181 W · 80 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…535abacked Katie Boulter80c14.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.948269.5%57 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.