MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcccaa35fbf706f0e68b5837f38e199ff7a4a6c88df4361acd19cbfab0e258150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $988,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,017,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 608,338$259,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348,486.21 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 93,598$52,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,507.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 93,000$53,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,940 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 52,894$30,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,156.38 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 36,000$20,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,879.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 24,885$13,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,935.83 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 23,300$13,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,281 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 21,921$12,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,495 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 16,513$9,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,431.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 14,666$8,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,506.27 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 14,406$7,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,568.55 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 13,244$7,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,712.37 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 12,800$6,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,484.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 12,613$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 12,056$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,165.07 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 9,743$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.11 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 9,424$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,691.14 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.98 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 8,771$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.47 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.86 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 7,083$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…7c51backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 7,010$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 6,537$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 6,318$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.82 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…8f9dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,515$3,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…1818backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,164$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,008$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.99 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 4,828$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 3,722$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.22 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,519$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.74 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,363$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,976$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,857$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.14 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,558$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 2,451$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 2,284$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.72 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,217$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.38 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 2,155$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.34 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 2,021$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.7 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 1,882$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.96 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 1,810$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.88 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 1,780$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.46 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…329abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,733$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…26abbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,724$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,653$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.02 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 1,560$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.43 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,504$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,493$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.01 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,478$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,477$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,456$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…6e45backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,410$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 1,350$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,349$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…2c38backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,341$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,340$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,335$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,330$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,318$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,305$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,292$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 1,275$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,266$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…0553backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,259$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,253$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Boston Red Sox | 79c | 1,241$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,207$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 1,204$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.69 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,201$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,200$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,139$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.86 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,137$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 1,065$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.16 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 1,063$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.18 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,016$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.13 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…91debacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.06 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…0753backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…150abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.