TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No57c19,105$10,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,889.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c10,975$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.285,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes78c8,298$6,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.631,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x912a…2e6abacked Yes44c7,906$3,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c7,266$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,146.781,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes43c5,070$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.9340156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No58c4,758$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.463842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c4,342$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.92,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes60c2,855$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.382,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes42c2,036$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.9539954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes43c2,006$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.181,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5606753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6721,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58013631.6%43 W · 93 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3406643.9%29 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes43c999.02$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.461,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c701.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0692835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No19c662.6$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0315133.8%51 W · 100 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No20c628$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.647860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes43c619$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.832,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Yes43c596$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No56c592$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5216856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked No28c475$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.252766.7%18 W · 9 L+7.6wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+87.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c409.99$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.921,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c397.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8696846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c395.71$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5539649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No56c357.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3811764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No58c351.17$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c347.16$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.8838849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No20c310.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1728253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No22c220.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5814247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dc…1783backed Yes43c214.85$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c203.62$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9689955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Yes39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1221770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+64.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes65c199.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c183.7$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.611,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No57c175.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0112660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No23c169.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0773850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes78c166.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1484347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed No58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.417151.5%88 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Yes63c119.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.619041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.643333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed No55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8336142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe290…7fb0backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.486944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…36a2backed Yes73c98.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Yes43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No27c92.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2115971.1%113 W · 46 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c92$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No58c90.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.612948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes45c88.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8417058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No34c88.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017630.1%53 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes66c84.41$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.321,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed No25c79.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No13c78.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4746422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No29c77.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.276943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No28c76.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5815470.8%109 W · 45 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7719048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes43c67.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.330049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Yes63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.22748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed No60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.142944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed No59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306538.5%25 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…8e94backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No56c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7411650%58 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed No30c43.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.312864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes71c43.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.664568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…0e72backed Yes64c38.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes40c37.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4821574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes44c37.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes44c36.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.368256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes67c35.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.822352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.253966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Yes42c31.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked No55c29.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No61c27.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5430464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Yes43c26.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.258958.4%52 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes43c25.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7210752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No55c25.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0932457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes44c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.735940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked Yes64c21.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.721450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Yes51c19.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.