Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9356b0d020b15423c65f2b0794d28a69b3b37741891c2f0e05529e4987c177c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,244$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.29 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 2,924$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.37 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 2,351$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.3 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 4c | 951.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 29c | 603.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 440.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 23c | 354.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 79c | 328.27$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 31c | 264.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 232.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 74c | 171.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 167.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 79c | 164.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 17c | 145.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 136.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 130.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 78c | 128.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 123.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 110.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 102.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 87.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 75c | 60.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 60.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 57.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 43.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.