TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1467…4372backed Yes58c17,009$9,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,143.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No42c15,483$6,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,518.431,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c14,004$6,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,758.9317249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes53c11,724$6,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,539.571,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes50c10,512$5,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,293.4417753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c6,782$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.352,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No47c5,052$2,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.923040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6502853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes61c2,638$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+66.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No52c2,240$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No9c2,161$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.820132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes48c1,745$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.964658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes48c1,682$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes56c1,664$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.1139954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c1,595$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1792835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No51c1,482$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.476060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.091216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-70%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes29c1,345$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c1,344$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.661,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55212552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes39c1,063$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.122339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf78…7736backed No55c1,014$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes50c1,008$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041782.4%14 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+85.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes59c984.9$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.812050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No50c967.34$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.352,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No42c855$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes49c832.78$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.072,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes79c801.73$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2727639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c767.03$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.485,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No11c708.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.835626.8%15 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes58c676.53$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.534650%23 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No40c614.98$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.461,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No50c603.88$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.031,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes56c599.97$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No19c589.38$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No44c581.5$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.861,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes65c568.56$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.418851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c549.58$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.811,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes68c516.67$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6712153.7%65 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes59c490.07$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.051376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No19c467$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.73200%0 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes33c460.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1111546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes59c457.63$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.634555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…3bb3backed Yes57c434.19$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1056…e7c7backed Yes51c432.06$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes54c419.45$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.6870842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c402.41$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.051,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No49c399.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4912660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No39c397.03$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…0524backed No51c388.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No41c339.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13921152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c319.28$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6293446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c317.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1482053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes57c317.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.015143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.166334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No42c260$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.215050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No41c259.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5914452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.244544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No41c223.93$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3889955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…fddabacked Yes49c223.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…d696backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Yes30c216.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+90.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No51c213.42$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8418543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbb…6354backed Yes47c210.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes49c204.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3722642.5%96 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…5717backed Yes49c204.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.17862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf06…d267backed Yes48c203.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf71…66d7backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe087…3e02backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed No44c196.88$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.657356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No54c185.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9847860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac52…b882backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed No27c179$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.166943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Yes57c175.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes47c174.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.626738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes58c171.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7325653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2547…7804backed Yes60c170$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db7…1cabbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No8c158.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2927148%130 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes62c154.44$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3324448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.517545.7%80 W · 95 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Yes53c149.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.792356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Yes47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9411839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes45c146.35$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.493423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked No71c140$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011053.6%59 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes80c125.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.111770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No34c119.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.185350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No19c119.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6546422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.