Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06b201a05bc332cd532c272bde51551b0ccf371516c0742c575486cb4d3ea2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 6,485$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.91 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked No | 79c | 5,012$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Yes | 21c | 2,009$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 1,670$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.03 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 80c | 1,431$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.05 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 21c | 1,409$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.82 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 1,302$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.49 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 7c | 1,262$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 19c | 1,165$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.36 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed No | 77c | 1,136$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 643.75$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 10c | 486.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 451.79$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 377.58$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked No | 80c | 335$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 76c | 234.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 212.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 181.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed No | 58c | 173.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…b917backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 143.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 77c | 142.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 133.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 122.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 112$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 104.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 17c | 93.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 56c | 70.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 69.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 66.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 64.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 17c | 60.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 77c | 57.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 56.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 20c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 80c | 48.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 64c | 43.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 78c | 38.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 29c | 36.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed No | 77c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?Yes won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.