Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gustavo Heide vs Jurij Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd135bb2e351873494f0047fc50745ed679fbbb2b9dd028b8fbe7949a657494fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Gustavo Heide, Jurij Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 5,828$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.18 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 4,251$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.66 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Gustavo Heide | 31c | 4,105$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.41 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gustavo Heide | 23c | 4,044$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…698dbacked Gustavo Heide | 55c | 3,469$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 3,141$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.65 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gustavo Heide | 26c | 1,931$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.49 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Gustavo Heide | 29c | 1,642$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.85 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 1,009$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.53 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Gustavo Heide | 29c | 895$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Jurij Rodionov | 72c | 853.96$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.02 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…e732backed Gustavo Heide | 28c | 595$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 526.53$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gustavo Heide | 55c | 526.19$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jurij Rodionov | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gustavo Heide | 26c | 372.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jurij Rodionov | 32c | 352.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Jurij Rodionov | 61c | 338$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gustavo Heide | 24c | 302$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Gustavo Heide | 22c | 271.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jurij Rodionov | 58c | 257.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Gustavo Heide | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jurij Rodionov | 60c | 237.09$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 228$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…9548backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 34c | 193.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jurij Rodionov | 32c | 192.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Gustavo Heide | 21c | 182.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Jurij Rodionov | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Gustavo Heide | 68c | 148$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 30c | 142.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2c73backed Gustavo Heide | 58c | 137.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Gustavo Heide | 22c | 133.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8c36backed Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 126.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Gustavo Heide | 69c | 115$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Gustavo Heide | 57c | 101.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Gustavo Heide | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Gustavo Heide | 27c | 89.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gustavo Heide | 28c | 89.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gustavo Heide | 31c | 82.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…ad2fbacked Gustavo Heide | 26c | 76.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gustavo Heide | 68c | 75.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Gustavo Heide | 27c | 72.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Gustavo Heide | 28c | 62.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Gustavo Heide | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jurij Rodionov | 32c | 58.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 52.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Gustavo Heide | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Gustavo Heide | 26c | 47.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 45.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed Gustavo Heide | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Gustavo Heide | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Gustavo Heide | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…b1a2backed Gustavo Heide | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…9f78backed Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Jurij Rodionov | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Gustavo Heide | 34c | 32.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…3b5fbacked Gustavo Heide | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 28.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Jurij Rodionov | 63c | 24.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…0e72backed Jurij Rodionov | 63c | 21.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 13.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gustavo Heide vs Jurij Rodionovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Heide vs RodionovRodionov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.