TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb44e…c2c6backed Under61c16,971$10,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,696.463441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c9,642$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.073,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over3c9,575$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.753327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under64c6,149$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.033240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over62c3,700$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.975050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over37c3,698$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.1212132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c3,319$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.592,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over37c3,259$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.7657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over41c3,134$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.5210938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Over66c2,847$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.234845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Over39c2,802$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under34c2,786$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.371,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c2,769$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.6583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over68c2,512$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6964454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under50c2,362$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.028351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over29c2,140$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.2260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over39c1,718$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.5717731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under34c1,677$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.6740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over55c1,619$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c1,606$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.7883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under77c1,563$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under59c1,547$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.153138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Under77c1,509$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.072263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over45c1,379$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Over36c1,374$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.611442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over3c1,360$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.359750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9333%1 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under33c1,289$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.456756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over67c1,015$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under33c999.96$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.972740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over67c800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5363354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over47c797$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1733544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c752.36$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.041,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under32c746.73$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.786160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over67c714.18$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.314,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c703.7$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under67c699.55$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under46c639$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0313251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb855…df82backed Under72c624.1$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c618.91$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0869750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over40c616$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3820241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20422939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under34c592.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8223152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c571.04$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3140239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over67c562.73$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.034540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over36c560$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.611819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Under60c524.09$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over40c505$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under33c494.24$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.7713347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1056…e7c7backed Over65c486.65$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over34c485.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over64c465.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under42c459.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7110843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under35c399.95$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.978347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over51c396.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over41c392$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4816348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over57c389.51$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.581060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under33c386.33$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5968450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under34c385.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under46c326.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522d…3913backed Over43c325.58$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Under45c323.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11116745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04dc…62acbacked Under37c290.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over68c290.07$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.051764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over57c277.12$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.53548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under35c252.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.934242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e8…9a67backed Over53c250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under46c246.17$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.171275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over41c245$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.86256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked Over67c238.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under33c215.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7128045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5310127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Under75c200.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over41c199.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over40c197.53$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under33c190.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over67c186.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over41c185.37$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over42c184.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over67c182.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over66c180.6$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over56c177.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.56048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over56c177.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over57c175.42$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under59c166.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.469336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.